**Recent model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Milan on August 29, 2026, most likely falling between 18–21°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around 15–20°C.** Clearing skies after expected showers and thunderstorms on August 28 favor radiational cooling overnight under light west-northwest winds, a pattern supported by multiple forecasts including ilMeteo.it (21°C low), WeatherBug (~19°C), and Globalmeteo (~20°C). Yr.no hourly guidance shows early-morning readings dipping to 18–20°C as cloud cover decreases and dew points remain moderate. This aligns with late-August climatology for the Po Valley, where clear, post-frontal conditions often produce lows near 18–20°C absent strong advection. Uncertainties in exact minimums arise from minor model differences in wind mixing, residual moisture, and urban heat-island effects at official stations, explaining why no single outcome exceeds 27% implied probability. Upcoming high-resolution runs and official Italian Meteorological Service updates will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Милане 29 августа?
20°C 49%
23°C or higher 41%
17°C 27%
18°C 27%
13°C or below
15%
14°C
20%
15°C
22%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
49%
21°C
2%
22°C
14%
23°C or higher
41%
20°C 49%
23°C or higher 41%
17°C 27%
18°C 27%
13°C or below
15%
14°C
20%
15°C
22%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
49%
21°C
2%
22°C
14%
23°C or higher
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Milan on August 29, 2026, most likely falling between 18–21°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around 15–20°C.** Clearing skies after expected showers and thunderstorms on August 28 favor radiational cooling overnight under light west-northwest winds, a pattern supported by multiple forecasts including ilMeteo.it (21°C low), WeatherBug (~19°C), and Globalmeteo (~20°C). Yr.no hourly guidance shows early-morning readings dipping to 18–20°C as cloud cover decreases and dew points remain moderate. This aligns with late-August climatology for the Po Valley, where clear, post-frontal conditions often produce lows near 18–20°C absent strong advection. Uncertainties in exact minimums arise from minor model differences in wind mixing, residual moisture, and urban heat-island effects at official stations, explaining why no single outcome exceeds 27% implied probability. Upcoming high-resolution runs and official Italian Meteorological Service updates will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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