Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and GFS-based models indicate clear skies and light winds overnight into September 16, promoting radiative cooling that positions the official Moscow minimum near 7–9°C. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September and supports the market's heavy weighting toward 6°C (67.5% implied probability) and 5°C (25.5%). Dew points near 7–9°C and stable high pressure limit further drops, while any localized variations at the primary observing station could nudge readings slightly lower. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the early morning hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring for final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Москве 16 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Москве 16 сентября?
5°C 26%
4°C 10%
2°C 5%
3°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
1°C или ниже
1%
2°C
5%
3°C
5%
4°C
10%
5°C
26%
6°C
-
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C или выше
<1%
5°C 26%
4°C 10%
2°C 5%
3°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
1°C или ниже
$0 Объем
1%
2°C
$0 Объем
5%
3°C
$20 Объем
5%
4°C
$30 Объем
10%
5°C
$34 Объем
26%
6°C
$129 Объем
-
7°C
$203 Объем
<1%
8°C
$16 Объем
<1%
9°C
$0 Объем
<1%
10°C
$30 Объем
<1%
11°C или выше
$22 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and GFS-based models indicate clear skies and light winds overnight into September 16, promoting radiative cooling that positions the official Moscow minimum near 7–9°C. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September and supports the market's heavy weighting toward 6°C (67.5% implied probability) and 5°C (25.5%). Dew points near 7–9°C and stable high pressure limit further drops, while any localized variations at the primary observing station could nudge readings slightly lower. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the early morning hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$484Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and GFS-based models indicate clear skies and light winds overnight into September 16, promoting radiative cooling that positions the official Moscow minimum near 7–9°C. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September and supports the market's heavy weighting toward 6°C (67.5% implied probability) and 5°C (25.5%). Dew points near 7–9°C and stable high pressure limit further drops, while any localized variations at the primary observing station could nudge readings slightly lower. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the early morning hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$484Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometcenter and GFS-based models indicate clear skies and light winds overnight into September 16, promoting radiative cooling that positions the official Moscow minimum near 7–9°C. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September and supports the market's heavy weighting toward 6°C (67.5% implied probability) and 5°C (25.5%). Dew points near 7–9°C and stable high pressure limit further drops, while any localized variations at the primary observing station could nudge readings slightly lower. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the early morning hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring for final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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