Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City point to an overnight low in the low 70s on August 19, 2026, driven by mild southerly flow, limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and dew points near 70°F that suppress temperature drops. Ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF cluster around 72–73°F, aligning with the 47.5% market-implied probability on that bin, while warmer 74–75°F outcomes (22.5%) reflect scenarios with stronger mixing or delayed clearing. Climatologically, August Central Park minima average near 67°F, but persistent above-normal warmth this month and the absence of a strong cold front keep probabilities for sub-70°F readings below 20% combined. Updated NWS briefings and the next model runs tomorrow morning represent key near-term catalysts that could shift these odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 19 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 19 августа?
72-73°F 42%
74-75°F 22%
70-71°F 17%
76-77°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 авг. 2026 г.
61°F или ниже
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
42%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
1%
80°F или выше
1%
72-73°F 42%
74-75°F 22%
70-71°F 17%
76-77°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 авг. 2026 г.
61°F или ниже
$125 Объем
<1%
62-63°F
$130 Объем
<1%
64-65°F
$215 Объем
1%
66-67°F
$65 Объем
2%
68-69°F
$144 Объем
5%
70-71°F
$211 Объем
27%
72-73°F
$59 Объем
42%
74-75°F
$66 Объем
25%
76-77°F
$109 Объем
7%
78-79°F
$25 Объем
1%
80°F или выше
$291 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City point to an overnight low in the low 70s on August 19, 2026, driven by mild southerly flow, limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and dew points near 70°F that suppress temperature drops. Ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF cluster around 72–73°F, aligning with the 47.5% market-implied probability on that bin, while warmer 74–75°F outcomes (22.5%) reflect scenarios with stronger mixing or delayed clearing. Climatologically, August Central Park minima average near 67°F, but persistent above-normal warmth this month and the absence of a strong cold front keep probabilities for sub-70°F readings below 20% combined. Updated NWS briefings and the next model runs tomorrow morning represent key near-term catalysts that could shift these odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Объем
$1,440Дата окончания
19 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City point to an overnight low in the low 70s on August 19, 2026, driven by mild southerly flow, limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and dew points near 70°F that suppress temperature drops. Ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF cluster around 72–73°F, aligning with the 47.5% market-implied probability on that bin, while warmer 74–75°F outcomes (22.5%) reflect scenarios with stronger mixing or delayed clearing. Climatologically, August Central Park minima average near 67°F, but persistent above-normal warmth this month and the absence of a strong cold front keep probabilities for sub-70°F readings below 20% combined. Updated NWS briefings and the next model runs tomorrow morning represent key near-term catalysts that could shift these odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,440Дата окончания
19 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City point to an overnight low in the low 70s on August 19, 2026, driven by mild southerly flow, limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, and dew points near 70°F that suppress temperature drops. Ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF cluster around 72–73°F, aligning with the 47.5% market-implied probability on that bin, while warmer 74–75°F outcomes (22.5%) reflect scenarios with stronger mixing or delayed clearing. Climatologically, August Central Park minima average near 67°F, but persistent above-normal warmth this month and the absence of a strong cold front keep probabilities for sub-70°F readings below 20% combined. Updated NWS briefings and the next model runs tomorrow morning represent key near-term catalysts that could shift these odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы