Current official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for Tokyo on August 27 amid cloudy skies, scattered showers, and high humidity near 80%, with model consensus from sources like WeatherBug and WindBorne similarly pointing to lows of 25–26°C. This narrow clustering drives the market's tight distribution among 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C outcomes, as traders weigh typical forecast uncertainty ranges for overnight radiative cooling under overcast conditions versus any brief clear spells that could allow slightly lower readings. Historical August minima average near 23°C but recent warm, moist air masses have elevated baselines, leaving resolution sensitive to final observational data from central Tokyo stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 27 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Токио 27 августа?
27°C 37%
26°C 30%
28°C 22%
25°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 авг. 2026 г.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
11%
26°C
30%
27°C
37%
28°C
22%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
26°C 30%
28°C 22%
25°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 авг. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$118 Объем
<1%
22°C
$13 Объем
<1%
23°C
$71 Объем
<1%
24°C
$71 Объем
<1%
25°C
$661 Объем
11%
26°C
$1,454 Объем
30%
27°C
$562 Объем
37%
28°C
$297 Объем
22%
29°C
$149 Объем
<1%
30°C
$144 Объем
<1%
31°C or higher
$144 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for Tokyo on August 27 amid cloudy skies, scattered showers, and high humidity near 80%, with model consensus from sources like WeatherBug and WindBorne similarly pointing to lows of 25–26°C. This narrow clustering drives the market's tight distribution among 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C outcomes, as traders weigh typical forecast uncertainty ranges for overnight radiative cooling under overcast conditions versus any brief clear spells that could allow slightly lower readings. Historical August minima average near 23°C but recent warm, moist air masses have elevated baselines, leaving resolution sensitive to final observational data from central Tokyo stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$3,684Дата окончания
27 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for Tokyo on August 27 amid cloudy skies, scattered showers, and high humidity near 80%, with model consensus from sources like WeatherBug and WindBorne similarly pointing to lows of 25–26°C. This narrow clustering drives the market's tight distribution among 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C outcomes, as traders weigh typical forecast uncertainty ranges for overnight radiative cooling under overcast conditions versus any brief clear spells that could allow slightly lower readings. Historical August minima average near 23°C but recent warm, moist air masses have elevated baselines, leaving resolution sensitive to final observational data from central Tokyo stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,684Дата окончания
27 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for Tokyo on August 27 amid cloudy skies, scattered showers, and high humidity near 80%, with model consensus from sources like WeatherBug and WindBorne similarly pointing to lows of 25–26°C. This narrow clustering drives the market's tight distribution among 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C outcomes, as traders weigh typical forecast uncertainty ranges for overnight radiative cooling under overcast conditions versus any brief clear spells that could allow slightly lower readings. Historical August minima average near 23°C but recent warm, moist air masses have elevated baselines, leaving resolution sensitive to final observational data from central Tokyo stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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