Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo's overnight low on September 24 will likely settle near 20–22°C, driven by post-Typhoon Dujuan conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 85–95%, and light northerly winds that limit radiational cooling. These factors, combined with seasonal norms where late-September minima average around 18–20°C, position 21°C as the market favorite at 41% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the reduced chance of clearer skies that could drop readings toward 19°C or below against the low risk of stronger warming from lingering moisture. Updated model runs and any JMA briefing on steering patterns or precipitation timing over the next 48 hours could shift these odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 24 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Токио 24 сентября?
21°C 44%
22°C 29%
17°C 16%
18°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
4%
17°C
16%
18°C
16%
19°C
10%
20°C
15%
21°C
44%
22°C
29%
23°C
9%
24°C
8%
25°C
14%
26°C или выше
13%
21°C 44%
22°C 29%
17°C 16%
18°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$0 Объем
4%
17°C
$0 Объем
16%
18°C
$0 Объем
16%
19°C
$0 Объем
10%
20°C
$7 Объем
15%
21°C
$349 Объем
44%
22°C
$445 Объем
29%
23°C
$44 Объем
9%
24°C
$0 Объем
8%
25°C
$0 Объем
14%
26°C или выше
$0 Объем
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo's overnight low on September 24 will likely settle near 20–22°C, driven by post-Typhoon Dujuan conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 85–95%, and light northerly winds that limit radiational cooling. These factors, combined with seasonal norms where late-September minima average around 18–20°C, position 21°C as the market favorite at 41% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the reduced chance of clearer skies that could drop readings toward 19°C or below against the low risk of stronger warming from lingering moisture. Updated model runs and any JMA briefing on steering patterns or precipitation timing over the next 48 hours could shift these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$704Дата окончания
24 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo's overnight low on September 24 will likely settle near 20–22°C, driven by post-Typhoon Dujuan conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 85–95%, and light northerly winds that limit radiational cooling. These factors, combined with seasonal norms where late-September minima average around 18–20°C, position 21°C as the market favorite at 41% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the reduced chance of clearer skies that could drop readings toward 19°C or below against the low risk of stronger warming from lingering moisture. Updated model runs and any JMA briefing on steering patterns or precipitation timing over the next 48 hours could shift these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$704Дата окончания
24 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo's overnight low on September 24 will likely settle near 20–22°C, driven by post-Typhoon Dujuan conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 85–95%, and light northerly winds that limit radiational cooling. These factors, combined with seasonal norms where late-September minima average around 18–20°C, position 21°C as the market favorite at 41% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the reduced chance of clearer skies that could drop readings toward 19°C or below against the low risk of stronger warming from lingering moisture. Updated model runs and any JMA briefing on steering patterns or precipitation timing over the next 48 hours could shift these odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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