Southerly winds from a recent frontal passage are maintaining cooler air advection over Wellington, with partly cloudy skies allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight on September 20. Official MetService guidance and model consensus point to a minimum near 7–9 °C, with the exact value hinging on wind speeds (which limit decoupling) and the timing of any cloud breaks. Current observations show temperatures already in the 8–9 °C range late in the day, and small forecast differences in boundary-layer mixing create the tight market split between 7 °C, 8 °C, and 9 °C outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest observational updates and high-resolution model runs ahead of final verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 20 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 20 сентября?
7°C 100%
8°C 100%
10°C 1.0%
5°C или ниже <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
100%
8°C
100%
9°C
-
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C или выше
<1%
7°C 100%
8°C 100%
10°C 1.0%
5°C или ниже <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
$31 Объем
<1%
6°C
$31 Объем
<1%
7°C
$25 Объем
100%
8°C
$15 Объем
100%
9°C
$15 Объем
-
10°C
$206 Объем
1%
11°C
$16 Объем
<1%
12°C
$37 Объем
<1%
13°C
$41 Объем
<1%
14°C
$41 Объем
<1%
15°C или выше
$41 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southerly winds from a recent frontal passage are maintaining cooler air advection over Wellington, with partly cloudy skies allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight on September 20. Official MetService guidance and model consensus point to a minimum near 7–9 °C, with the exact value hinging on wind speeds (which limit decoupling) and the timing of any cloud breaks. Current observations show temperatures already in the 8–9 °C range late in the day, and small forecast differences in boundary-layer mixing create the tight market split between 7 °C, 8 °C, and 9 °C outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest observational updates and high-resolution model runs ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$497Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southerly winds from a recent frontal passage are maintaining cooler air advection over Wellington, with partly cloudy skies allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight on September 20. Official MetService guidance and model consensus point to a minimum near 7–9 °C, with the exact value hinging on wind speeds (which limit decoupling) and the timing of any cloud breaks. Current observations show temperatures already in the 8–9 °C range late in the day, and small forecast differences in boundary-layer mixing create the tight market split between 7 °C, 8 °C, and 9 °C outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest observational updates and high-resolution model runs ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$497Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Southerly winds from a recent frontal passage are maintaining cooler air advection over Wellington, with partly cloudy skies allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight on September 20. Official MetService guidance and model consensus point to a minimum near 7–9 °C, with the exact value hinging on wind speeds (which limit decoupling) and the timing of any cloud breaks. Current observations show temperatures already in the 8–9 °C range late in the day, and small forecast differences in boundary-layer mixing create the tight market split between 7 °C, 8 °C, and 9 °C outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest observational updates and high-resolution model runs ahead of final verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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