**Trader consensus for Wuhan's September 21 minimum temperature reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecast details, with market-implied probabilities closely split between 28°C or higher (43.0%) and 18°C or below (41.5%).** Recent cooling from northerly flow and scattered precipitation has lowered daytime highs toward 26–28°C, while overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover supports a minimum near 22–23°C according to consensus guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Model spreads arise mainly from precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the low by 2–3°C. Upcoming updated runs and local observations on September 20–21 will likely tighten the range and influence resolution around the 22°C outcome favored by several ensemble members.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 21 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Ухане 21 сентября?
18°C или ниже 97%
28°C или выше 95%
22°C 44%
21°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
97%
19°C
18%
20°C
36%
21°C
40%
22°C
34%
23°C
39%
24°C
36%
25°C
36%
26°C
14%
27°C
13%
28°C или выше
95%
18°C или ниже 97%
28°C или выше 95%
22°C 44%
21°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$0 Объем
97%
19°C
$0 Объем
18%
20°C
$0 Объем
36%
21°C
$0 Объем
40%
22°C
$17 Объем
34%
23°C
$0 Объем
39%
24°C
$0 Объем
36%
25°C
$0 Объем
36%
26°C
$0 Объем
14%
27°C
$0 Объем
13%
28°C или выше
$0 Объем
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for Wuhan's September 21 minimum temperature reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecast details, with market-implied probabilities closely split between 28°C or higher (43.0%) and 18°C or below (41.5%).** Recent cooling from northerly flow and scattered precipitation has lowered daytime highs toward 26–28°C, while overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover supports a minimum near 22–23°C according to consensus guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Model spreads arise mainly from precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the low by 2–3°C. Upcoming updated runs and local observations on September 20–21 will likely tighten the range and influence resolution around the 22°C outcome favored by several ensemble members.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$17Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for Wuhan's September 21 minimum temperature reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecast details, with market-implied probabilities closely split between 28°C or higher (43.0%) and 18°C or below (41.5%).** Recent cooling from northerly flow and scattered precipitation has lowered daytime highs toward 26–28°C, while overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover supports a minimum near 22–23°C according to consensus guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Model spreads arise mainly from precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the low by 2–3°C. Upcoming updated runs and local observations on September 20–21 will likely tighten the range and influence resolution around the 22°C outcome favored by several ensemble members.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$17Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus for Wuhan's September 21 minimum temperature reflects high uncertainty in short-term forecast details, with market-implied probabilities closely split between 28°C or higher (43.0%) and 18°C or below (41.5%).** Recent cooling from northerly flow and scattered precipitation has lowered daytime highs toward 26–28°C, while overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover supports a minimum near 22–23°C according to consensus guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Model spreads arise mainly from precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the low by 2–3°C. Upcoming updated runs and local observations on September 20–21 will likely tighten the range and influence resolution around the 22°C outcome favored by several ensemble members.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы