**Forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources converge on clear to partly cloudy conditions for Wuhan on September 6, 2026, with overnight lows projected near 21–23°C.** Recent stabilization after early-September typhoon-related rain and northerly winds has allowed daytime highs to reach 31–33°C, setting up moderate radiative cooling overnight under light northeast winds and moderate humidity. This positions the minimum temperature in the 20–23°C range, consistent with early-September climatology for the region. Market-implied probabilities remain closely bunched because small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while longer-range uncertainty in steering patterns keeps higher (26°C+) and lower (16°C or below) outcomes in play. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 6 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Ухане 6 сентября?
26°C или выше 69%
16°C или ниже 59%
19°C 49%
23°C 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
59%
17°C
19%
18°C
20%
19°C
49%
20°C
27%
21°C
28%
22°C
27%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
2%
26°C или выше
69%
26°C или выше 69%
16°C или ниже 59%
19°C 49%
23°C 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$0 Объем
59%
17°C
$0 Объем
19%
18°C
$0 Объем
20%
19°C
$0 Объем
49%
20°C
$0 Объем
27%
21°C
$0 Объем
28%
22°C
$0 Объем
27%
23°C
$0 Объем
49%
24°C
$0 Объем
49%
25°C
$0 Объем
2%
26°C или выше
$0 Объем
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources converge on clear to partly cloudy conditions for Wuhan on September 6, 2026, with overnight lows projected near 21–23°C.** Recent stabilization after early-September typhoon-related rain and northerly winds has allowed daytime highs to reach 31–33°C, setting up moderate radiative cooling overnight under light northeast winds and moderate humidity. This positions the minimum temperature in the 20–23°C range, consistent with early-September climatology for the region. Market-implied probabilities remain closely bunched because small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while longer-range uncertainty in steering patterns keeps higher (26°C+) and lower (16°C or below) outcomes in play. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources converge on clear to partly cloudy conditions for Wuhan on September 6, 2026, with overnight lows projected near 21–23°C.** Recent stabilization after early-September typhoon-related rain and northerly winds has allowed daytime highs to reach 31–33°C, setting up moderate radiative cooling overnight under light northeast winds and moderate humidity. This positions the minimum temperature in the 20–23°C range, consistent with early-September climatology for the region. Market-implied probabilities remain closely bunched because small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while longer-range uncertainty in steering patterns keeps higher (26°C+) and lower (16°C or below) outcomes in play. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies and international sources converge on clear to partly cloudy conditions for Wuhan on September 6, 2026, with overnight lows projected near 21–23°C.** Recent stabilization after early-September typhoon-related rain and northerly winds has allowed daytime highs to reach 31–33°C, setting up moderate radiative cooling overnight under light northeast winds and moderate humidity. This positions the minimum temperature in the 20–23°C range, consistent with early-September climatology for the region. Market-implied probabilities remain closely bunched because small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while longer-range uncertainty in steering patterns keeps higher (26°C+) and lower (16°C or below) outcomes in play. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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