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icon for Победитель парламентских выборов в Шотландии
Политика·Великобритания

Победитель парламентских выборов в Шотландии

icon for Победитель парламентских выборов в Шотландии
Политика·Великобритания

Победитель парламентских выборов в Шотландии

Шотландская национальная партия 100.0%

Шотландские консерваторы <1%

Шотландские либеральные демократы <1%

Партия Альба <1%

Polymarket

$1,883,660 Объем

Шотландская национальная партия 100.0%

Шотландские консерваторы <1%

Шотландские либеральные демократы <1%

Партия Альба <1%

Polymarket

$1,883,660 Объем

Шотландская национальная партия

$1,372,314 Объем

Да

Шотландские консерваторы

$29,628 Объем

Нет

Шотландские либеральные демократы

$131,303 Объем

Нет

Партия Альба

$40,951 Объем

Нет

Шотландская лейбористская партия

$78,322 Объем

Нет

Шотландская партия зелёных

$65,726 Объем

Нет

Reform UK

$131,736 Объем

Нет

Партия Суверенитет

$33,680 Объем

Нет

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election. If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).The Scottish Parliament election on 7 May 2026 delivered a fifth consecutive victory for the Scottish National Party as the largest party, securing 57 seats with nearly all 129 declared, well ahead of Scottish Labour and Reform UK tied around 17 seats each, amid surges for the Scottish Greens and Liberal Democrats. SNP leader John Swinney declared victory as counts finalized over 8–9 May, reflecting trader consensus on the party's enduring dominance in proportional representation despite seat losses from 2021 and no overall majority threshold of 65. While remaining Highlands and Islands regional list seats pose negligible risk, potential recounts or legal disputes could theoretically challenge the outcome, though official tallies cement SNP's commanding position.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election.

If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).
Объем
$1,883,660
Дата окончания
7 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election. If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election. If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).The Scottish Parliament election on 7 May 2026 delivered a fifth consecutive victory for the Scottish National Party as the largest party, securing 57 seats with nearly all 129 declared, well ahead of Scottish Labour and Reform UK tied around 17 seats each, amid surges for the Scottish Greens and Liberal Democrats. SNP leader John Swinney declared victory as counts finalized over 8–9 May, reflecting trader consensus on the party's enduring dominance in proportional representation despite seat losses from 2021 and no overall majority threshold of 65. While remaining Highlands and Islands regional list seats pose negligible risk, potential recounts or legal disputes could theoretically challenge the outcome, though official tallies cement SNP's commanding position.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election.

If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).
Объем
$1,883,660
Дата окончания
7 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election. If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

Связанные

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Выиграет ли Шведская социал-демократическая партия (S) наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в Швеции в 2026 году?

98%
Да
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Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

59%
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Сможет ли Движение Амаль получить наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в Ливане в 2026 году?

1%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель парламентских выборов в Шотландии» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Шотландская национальная партия» с 100%, за ним следует «Шотландские консерваторы» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель парламентских выборов в Шотландии» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $1.9 million с момента запуска рынка Dec 12, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель парламентских выборов в Шотландии», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель парламентских выборов в Шотландии» — «Шотландская национальная партия» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Шотландские консерваторы» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель парламентских выборов в Шотландии» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.