Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Enrique Leaño as the frontrunner for Sucre's mayoral election in Bolivia's Chuquisaca department, with implied probabilities reflecting his consistent lead in recent polls around 40-50%. Key drivers include Leaño's strong backing from the Comunidad Ciudadana (CC) party, bolstered by local endorsements and campaign momentum amid voter dissatisfaction with the ruling MAS party's governance. Cristian Sanabria trails as the MAS contender at 20.5%, pressured by national political tensions following Bolivia's October 2024 flashpoint protests. Lower odds for independents like Wilber Chocamani and Pablo Arízaga stem from fragmented opposition support. Upcoming debates and final polling in early 2025 could shift these dynamics, as subnational races hinge on regional turnout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов мэра Сукре (Боливия)
Победитель выборов мэра Сукре (Боливия)
Энрике Леаньо 47.0%
Кристиан Санабрия 9%
Хорасио Поппе 3.5%
Хуан Антонио Хесус 3.5%
$23,801 Объем
$23,801 Объем

Энрике Леаньо
47%

Кристиан Санабрия
21%

Хорасио Поппе
4%

Хуан Антонио Хесус
4%

Эрик Марсело Педразас Лопес
3%

Ричард Москосо
3%

Пабло Арисага
10%

Франц Тата Гарсия
1%

Сесилия Калани
1%

Фатима Тардио
1%

Вилбер Чокамани
10%

Эбер Марсело Терразас
9%
Энрике Леаньо 47.0%
Кристиан Санабрия 9%
Хорасио Поппе 3.5%
Хуан Антонио Хесус 3.5%
$23,801 Объем
$23,801 Объем

Энрике Леаньо
47%

Кристиан Санабрия
21%

Хорасио Поппе
4%

Хуан Антонио Хесус
4%

Эрик Марсело Педразас Лопес
3%

Ричард Москосо
3%

Пабло Арисага
10%

Франц Тата Гарсия
1%

Сесилия Калани
1%

Фатима Тардио
1%

Вилбер Чокамани
10%

Эбер Марсело Терразас
9%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Enrique Leaño as the frontrunner for Sucre's mayoral election in Bolivia's Chuquisaca department, with implied probabilities reflecting his consistent lead in recent polls around 40-50%. Key drivers include Leaño's strong backing from the Comunidad Ciudadana (CC) party, bolstered by local endorsements and campaign momentum amid voter dissatisfaction with the ruling MAS party's governance. Cristian Sanabria trails as the MAS contender at 20.5%, pressured by national political tensions following Bolivia's October 2024 flashpoint protests. Lower odds for independents like Wilber Chocamani and Pablo Arízaga stem from fragmented opposition support. Upcoming debates and final polling in early 2025 could shift these dynamics, as subnational races hinge on regional turnout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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