Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Enrique Leaño at 42.3% implied probability to win Bolivia's Sucre mayoral election, driven by recent polls from firms like Ciesmori and Ipsos showing him ahead by 15-20 points among registered voters in Chuquisaca department. Leaño, backed by the ruling Movimiento al Socialismo (MAS) party amid internal opposition fractures, benefits from strong grassroots mobilization and endorsements from local MAS leaders following the candidate registration deadline last month. Cristian Sanabria (19.5%) gains from Comunidad Ciudadana momentum in urban areas, while Hebert Marcelo Terrazas (13.3%) and Pablo Arízaga (12.2%) draw support from evangelical and independent voters, respectively. Upcoming debates and a potential MAS unity rally could shift odds before the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов мэра Сукре (Боливия)
Победитель выборов мэра Сукре (Боливия)
Энрике Леаньо 46.9%
Эбер Марсело Терразас 11.1%
Кристиан Санабрия 9%
Хуан Антонио Хесус 3.8%
$23,787 Объем
$23,787 Объем

Энрике Леаньо
47%

Эбер Марсело Терразас
11%

Кристиан Санабрия
20%

Хуан Антонио Хесус
4%

Хорасио Поппе
4%

Эрик Марсело Педразас Лопес
3%

Ричард Москосо
3%

Пабло Арисага
11%

Франц Тата Гарсия
1%

Сесилия Калани
1%

Фатима Тардио
1%

Вилбер Чокамани
11%
Энрике Леаньо 46.9%
Эбер Марсело Терразас 11.1%
Кристиан Санабрия 9%
Хуан Антонио Хесус 3.8%
$23,787 Объем
$23,787 Объем

Энрике Леаньо
47%

Эбер Марсело Терразас
11%

Кристиан Санабрия
20%

Хуан Антонио Хесус
4%

Хорасио Поппе
4%

Эрик Марсело Педразас Лопес
3%

Ричард Москосо
3%

Пабло Арисага
11%

Франц Тата Гарсия
1%

Сесилия Калани
1%

Фатима Тардио
1%

Вилбер Чокамани
11%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Enrique Leaño at 42.3% implied probability to win Bolivia's Sucre mayoral election, driven by recent polls from firms like Ciesmori and Ipsos showing him ahead by 15-20 points among registered voters in Chuquisaca department. Leaño, backed by the ruling Movimiento al Socialismo (MAS) party amid internal opposition fractures, benefits from strong grassroots mobilization and endorsements from local MAS leaders following the candidate registration deadline last month. Cristian Sanabria (19.5%) gains from Comunidad Ciudadana momentum in urban areas, while Hebert Marcelo Terrazas (13.3%) and Pablo Arízaga (12.2%) draw support from evangelical and independent voters, respectively. Upcoming debates and a potential MAS unity rally could shift odds before the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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