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icon for Кто покинет администрацию Трампа до 2027 года?
Политика·Трамп

Кто покинет администрацию Трампа до 2027 года?

icon for Кто покинет администрацию Трампа до 2027 года?
Политика·Трамп

Кто покинет администрацию Трампа до 2027 года?

янв. 1, 2027

янв. 1, 2027

$1,408,454 Объем

31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$1,408,454 Объем

Polymarket

Дэн Скавино

$137 Объем

30%

Пит Хегсет

$128,228 Объем

28%

Ли Зелдин

$32,001 Объем

27%

Ховард Латник

$94,591 Объем

24%

Сьюзи Уайлс

$56,648 Объем

21%

Дэвид Сакс

$9,216 Объем

18%

Каш Пател

$306,044 Объем

18%

Роберт Ф. Кеннеди-младший

$91,224 Объем

17%

Кристи Ноэм

$97,855 Объем

18%

Стивен Миллер

$3,975 Объем

12%

Марквейн Маллин

$2,633 Объем

23%

Джон Рэтклифф

$572 Объем

12%

Рассел Воут

$284 Объем

16%

Том Хоман

$253 Объем

19%

Марко Рубио

$20,245 Объем

8%

Скотт Бессент

$9,208 Объем

6%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Record turnover has defined the second Trump administration, with 27 Senate-confirmed Cabinet department officials departing in the first 18 months—far exceeding rates in prior terms. Key exits include Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem and Attorney General Pam Bondi, both removed by the president in early 2026, along with Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer’s April resignation amid an inspector general review and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard’s June departure for personal reasons. Nearly 1,000 non-Senate-confirmed appointees have also left, representing about 25 percent of such roles, with particularly high rates at Commerce, Transportation, Homeland Security, Labor, Justice, and Veterans Affairs. Acting officials have filled multiple roles amid slower Senate confirmations for replacements. Traders assessing further departures before 2027 focus on the administration’s pattern of rapid personnel shifts, ongoing agency leadership vacancies, and any scheduled confirmation hearings or policy deadlines through the remainder of the year.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Объем
$1,408,454
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 15, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Record turnover has defined the second Trump administration, with 27 Senate-confirmed Cabinet department officials departing in the first 18 months—far exceeding rates in prior terms. Key exits include Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem and Attorney General Pam Bondi, both removed by the president in early 2026, along with Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer’s April resignation amid an inspector general review and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard’s June departure for personal reasons. Nearly 1,000 non-Senate-confirmed appointees have also left, representing about 25 percent of such roles, with particularly high rates at Commerce, Transportation, Homeland Security, Labor, Justice, and Veterans Affairs. Acting officials have filled multiple roles amid slower Senate confirmations for replacements. Traders assessing further departures before 2027 focus on the administration’s pattern of rapid personnel shifts, ongoing agency leadership vacancies, and any scheduled confirmation hearings or policy deadlines through the remainder of the year.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Объем
$1,408,454
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 15, 2026, 3:55 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

Связанные

icon for Уйдет ли Трамп в отставку до 2027 года?

Уйдет ли Трамп в отставку до 2027 года?

3%
Да
icon for Уйдет ли Трамп с поста президента до 2027 года?

Уйдет ли Трамп с поста президента до 2027 года?

6%
Да
icon for Уйдёт ли Трамп в отставку до 31 декабря 2026 года?

Уйдёт ли Трамп в отставку до 31 декабря 2026 года?

3%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Кто покинет администрацию Трампа до 2027 года?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 21 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Кэролайн Левитт» с 100%, за ним следует «Тулси Габбард» с 100%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Кто покинет администрацию Трампа до 2027 года?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $1.4 million с момента запуска рынка Nov 5, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Кто покинет администрацию Трампа до 2027 года?», просмотри 21 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Кто покинет администрацию Трампа до 2027 года?» — «Кэролайн Левитт» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Тулси Габбард» с 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Кто покинет администрацию Трампа до 2027 года?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.