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icon for Объявит ли CMI проблему Навье-Стокса решенной ___?
Технологии·AI

Объявит ли CMI проблему Навье-Стокса решенной ___?

icon for Объявит ли CMI проблему Навье-Стокса решенной ___?
Технологии·AI

Объявит ли CMI проблему Навье-Стокса решенной ___?

$13,664 Объем

31 дек. 2028 г.
Polymarket

$13,664 Объем

Polymarket

31 декабря 2026 года

$7,210 Объем

6%

31 декабря 2027 года

$3,900 Объем

17%

31 декабря 2028 года

$2,555 Объем

51%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.Recent OpenAI claims of resolving the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem via an internal multi-agent AI system—establishing finite-time blowup under smooth forcing (Clay alternatives C and D)—have driven trader focus, backed by a Lean formalization released September 8. Clay Mathematics Institute responded September 11 by stating the problem has “apparently been settled,” citing accelerating AI-assisted research, while emphasizing its deliberately unhurried verification and credit process. Priority disputes with mathematicians Tristan Buckmaster and Levent Alpöge over related Euler-equation results, plus debate over whether the forced construction meets traditional prize expectations for the unforced case, introduce uncertainty. No official declaration or prize award has occurred as of mid-September 2026, leaving resolution dependent on CMI’s ongoing review timeline and community scrutiny.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered.

A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
Объем
$13,664
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2029 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:21 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.Recent OpenAI claims of resolving the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem via an internal multi-agent AI system—establishing finite-time blowup under smooth forcing (Clay alternatives C and D)—have driven trader focus, backed by a Lean formalization released September 8. Clay Mathematics Institute responded September 11 by stating the problem has “apparently been settled,” citing accelerating AI-assisted research, while emphasizing its deliberately unhurried verification and credit process. Priority disputes with mathematicians Tristan Buckmaster and Levent Alpöge over related Euler-equation results, plus debate over whether the forced construction meets traditional prize expectations for the unforced case, introduce uncertainty. No official declaration or prize award has occurred as of mid-September 2026, leaving resolution dependent on CMI’s ongoing review timeline and community scrutiny.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered.

A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own. Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered. A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
Объем
$13,664
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2029 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:21 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

Связанные

icon for Объявит ли CMI о решении одной из задач тысячелетия до 31 декабря 2028 года?

Объявит ли CMI о решении одной из задач тысячелетия до 31 декабря 2028 года?

33%
Да
icon for Объявит ли CMI гипотезу Римана решённой к 31 декабря 2027 года?

Объявит ли CMI гипотезу Римана решённой к 31 декабря 2027 года?

14%
Да
icon for OpenAI отзывает решение Навье-Стокса в 2026 году?

OpenAI отзывает решение Навье-Стокса в 2026 году?

7%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Объявит ли CMI проблему Навье-Стокса решенной ___?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 декабря 2028 года» с 51%, за ним следует «31 декабря 2027 года» с 17%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 51¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 51%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Объявит ли CMI проблему Навье-Стокса решенной ___?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $13.7K с момента запуска рынка Sep 9, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

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Текущий фаворит для «Объявит ли CMI проблему Навье-Стокса решенной ___?» — «31 декабря 2028 года» с 51%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 51%. Следующий ближайший исход — «31 декабря 2027 года» с 17%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Объявит ли CMI проблему Навье-Стокса решенной ___?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.