Wyoming's Republican nominee Eric Barlow holds a commanding lead in the 2026 gubernatorial race following his August 18 primary victory over challengers including Megan Degenfelder. The state's consistent Republican dominance in statewide contests, with no Democratic win since 2006, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 96.1% Republican probability. Term limits on incumbent Mark Gordon opened the seat, yet the primary consolidated support behind a mainstream conservative candidate in a solidly Republican environment rated as such by Cook Political Report and similar analysts. Democratic nominee Ken Casner faces structural barriers typical of the state's electoral patterns. A major unforeseen scandal or candidate withdrawal before November 3 remains the primary route to shifting the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Вайоминга
$10,896 Объем
$10,896 Объем

Республиканец
96%

Демократ
3%
$10,896 Объем
$10,896 Объем

Республиканец
96%

Демократ
3%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's Republican nominee Eric Barlow holds a commanding lead in the 2026 gubernatorial race following his August 18 primary victory over challengers including Megan Degenfelder. The state's consistent Republican dominance in statewide contests, with no Democratic win since 2006, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 96.1% Republican probability. Term limits on incumbent Mark Gordon opened the seat, yet the primary consolidated support behind a mainstream conservative candidate in a solidly Republican environment rated as such by Cook Political Report and similar analysts. Democratic nominee Ken Casner faces structural barriers typical of the state's electoral patterns. A major unforeseen scandal or candidate withdrawal before November 3 remains the primary route to shifting the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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