Recent global surface temperature analyses from agencies like Copernicus and NASA show early August 2026 maintaining elevated anomalies amid a long-term warming trend and developing El Niño signals in the Pacific, which boost ocean heat content and atmospheric temperatures. Regional extremes, including South Korea's record 42.5°C on August 2, align with model consensus projecting these days near or above prior daily global peaks like July 2024. Traders assign highest implied odds to second-hottest overall due to measurement uncertainties in daily averages and slight cooling potential from transient weather patterns, while first- or third-place outcomes remain plausible pending refined data releases. Upcoming NOAA and Copernicus updates on August anomalies will likely refine these probabilities further.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2nd hottest 55%
1st hottest 46%
3rd hottest 12%
4th or lower 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
1st hottest
46%
2nd hottest
55%
3rd hottest
12%
4th or lower
7%
2nd hottest 55%
1st hottest 46%
3rd hottest 12%
4th or lower 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
1st hottest
$1 ปริมาณ
46%
2nd hottest
$1 ปริมาณ
55%
3rd hottest
$36 ปริมาณ
12%
4th or lower
$35 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 versus the data points available for all other Augusts on record.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Recent global surface temperature analyses from agencies like Copernicus and NASA show early August 2026 maintaining elevated anomalies amid a long-term warming trend and developing El Niño signals in the Pacific, which boost ocean heat content and atmospheric temperatures. Regional extremes, including South Korea's record 42.5°C on August 2, align with model consensus projecting these days near or above prior daily global peaks like July 2024. Traders assign highest implied odds to second-hottest overall due to measurement uncertainties in daily averages and slight cooling potential from transient weather patterns, while first- or third-place outcomes remain plausible pending refined data releases. Upcoming NOAA and Copernicus updates on August anomalies will likely refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 versus the data points available for all other Augusts on record.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$73วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 versus the data points available for all other Augusts on record.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Recent global surface temperature analyses from agencies like Copernicus and NASA show early August 2026 maintaining elevated anomalies amid a long-term warming trend and developing El Niño signals in the Pacific, which boost ocean heat content and atmospheric temperatures. Regional extremes, including South Korea's record 42.5°C on August 2, align with model consensus projecting these days near or above prior daily global peaks like July 2024. Traders assign highest implied odds to second-hottest overall due to measurement uncertainties in daily averages and slight cooling potential from transient weather patterns, while first- or third-place outcomes remain plausible pending refined data releases. Upcoming NOAA and Copernicus updates on August anomalies will likely refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 versus the data points available for all other Augusts on record.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$73วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent global surface temperature analyses from agencies like Copernicus and NASA show early August 2026 maintaining elevated anomalies amid a long-term warming trend and developing El Niño signals in the Pacific, which boost ocean heat content and atmospheric temperatures. Regional extremes, including South Korea's record 42.5°C on August 2, align with model consensus projecting these days near or above prior daily global peaks like July 2024. Traders assign highest implied odds to second-hottest overall due to measurement uncertainties in daily averages and slight cooling potential from transient weather patterns, while first- or third-place outcomes remain plausible pending refined data releases. Upcoming NOAA and Copernicus updates on August anomalies will likely refine these probabilities further.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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