Canada’s 2025 federal election produced a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney with 169 seats, four short of a majority. Current polling aggregates through late July 2026 show the Liberals holding a narrow lead over the Conservatives, with support in the low-to-mid 40s versus the mid-30s. This positioning reduces immediate pressure for an early dissolution, as the government can likely rely on ad-hoc support from other parties on confidence matters. Public sentiment remains divided on the desirability of another vote before the end of 2026, and no major legislative defeats, scandals, or parliamentary defeats have surfaced to force an election call. Fixed-date legislation still points to a later contest, though the minority status leaves room for rapid change if coalition dynamics shift or economic pressures intensify.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$92,321 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
6%
$92,321 ปริมาณ
December 31, 2026
$664 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada’s 2025 federal election produced a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney with 169 seats, four short of a majority. Current polling aggregates through late July 2026 show the Liberals holding a narrow lead over the Conservatives, with support in the low-to-mid 40s versus the mid-30s. This positioning reduces immediate pressure for an early dissolution, as the government can likely rely on ad-hoc support from other parties on confidence matters. Public sentiment remains divided on the desirability of another vote before the end of 2026, and no major legislative defeats, scandals, or parliamentary defeats have surfaced to force an election call. Fixed-date legislation still points to a later contest, though the minority status leaves room for rapid change if coalition dynamics shift or economic pressures intensify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$92,321วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada’s 2025 federal election produced a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney with 169 seats, four short of a majority. Current polling aggregates through late July 2026 show the Liberals holding a narrow lead over the Conservatives, with support in the low-to-mid 40s versus the mid-30s. This positioning reduces immediate pressure for an early dissolution, as the government can likely rely on ad-hoc support from other parties on confidence matters. Public sentiment remains divided on the desirability of another vote before the end of 2026, and no major legislative defeats, scandals, or parliamentary defeats have surfaced to force an election call. Fixed-date legislation still points to a later contest, though the minority status leaves room for rapid change if coalition dynamics shift or economic pressures intensify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$92,321วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada’s 2025 federal election produced a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney with 169 seats, four short of a majority. Current polling aggregates through late July 2026 show the Liberals holding a narrow lead over the Conservatives, with support in the low-to-mid 40s versus the mid-30s. This positioning reduces immediate pressure for an early dissolution, as the government can likely rely on ad-hoc support from other parties on confidence matters. Public sentiment remains divided on the desirability of another vote before the end of 2026, and no major legislative defeats, scandals, or parliamentary defeats have surfaced to force an election call. Fixed-date legislation still points to a later contest, though the minority status leaves room for rapid change if coalition dynamics shift or economic pressures intensify.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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