Recent FOMC projections and the September 16 rate increase to the 3.75-4.00% target range have anchored elevated odds for another 2026 hike, with 16 of 18 policymakers expecting at least one additional 25 basis point move by year-end amid PCE inflation at 3.7%. Persistent price pressures, resilient GDP growth near 2.3%, and a stable labor market have shifted the policy reaction function toward further tightening under Chair Warsh, overriding earlier expectations of holds or cuts. Market-implied probabilities near 85.5% align with futures pricing for December action and reflect capital-weighted trader consensus on sticky inflation risks. Key near-term catalysts include the October and December meetings alongside incoming CPI and employment data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
86% โอกาส
$80,479 ปริมาณ
$80,479 ปริมาณ
Dec 8, 2026
86% โอกาส
$80,479 ปริมาณ
$80,479 ปริมาณ
Dec 8, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent FOMC projections and the September 16 rate increase to the 3.75-4.00% target range have anchored elevated odds for another 2026 hike, with 16 of 18 policymakers expecting at least one additional 25 basis point move by year-end amid PCE inflation at 3.7%. Persistent price pressures, resilient GDP growth near 2.3%, and a stable labor market have shifted the policy reaction function toward further tightening under Chair Warsh, overriding earlier expectations of holds or cuts. Market-implied probabilities near 85.5% align with futures pricing for December action and reflect capital-weighted trader consensus on sticky inflation risks. Key near-term catalysts include the October and December meetings alongside incoming CPI and employment data.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$80,479วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent FOMC projections and the September 16 rate increase to the 3.75-4.00% target range have anchored elevated odds for another 2026 hike, with 16 of 18 policymakers expecting at least one additional 25 basis point move by year-end amid PCE inflation at 3.7%. Persistent price pressures, resilient GDP growth near 2.3%, and a stable labor market have shifted the policy reaction function toward further tightening under Chair Warsh, overriding earlier expectations of holds or cuts. Market-implied probabilities near 85.5% align with futures pricing for December action and reflect capital-weighted trader consensus on sticky inflation risks. Key near-term catalysts include the October and December meetings alongside incoming CPI and employment data.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$80,479วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent FOMC projections and the September 16 rate increase to the 3.75-4.00% target range have anchored elevated odds for another 2026 hike, with 16 of 18 policymakers expecting at least one additional 25 basis point move by year-end amid PCE inflation at 3.7%. Persistent price pressures, resilient GDP growth near 2.3%, and a stable labor market have shifted the policy reaction function toward further tightening under Chair Warsh, overriding earlier expectations of holds or cuts. Market-implied probabilities near 85.5% align with futures pricing for December action and reflect capital-weighted trader consensus on sticky inflation risks. Key near-term catalysts include the October and December meetings alongside incoming CPI and employment data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย