Recent FOMC action and projections underpin the elevated 85.5% market-implied odds of at least one additional federal funds rate hike before year-end. On September 16 the Committee raised the target range 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% and the updated dot plot showed 16 of 18 participants expecting a further increase by December, lifting the median year-end rate forecast to 4.1%. August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month to 3.4% year-over-year, while core measures and PCE readings remain well above the 2% goal amid resilient growth, solid payrolls, and energy-driven price pressures. Hawkish guidance from Chair Warsh and the shift in official projections have aligned trader positioning with these data points, though October and December meetings plus incoming inflation prints remain key swing factors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
86% โอกาส
$81,266 ปริมาณ
$81,266 ปริมาณ
Dec 8, 2026
86% โอกาส
$81,266 ปริมาณ
$81,266 ปริมาณ
Dec 8, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent FOMC action and projections underpin the elevated 85.5% market-implied odds of at least one additional federal funds rate hike before year-end. On September 16 the Committee raised the target range 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% and the updated dot plot showed 16 of 18 participants expecting a further increase by December, lifting the median year-end rate forecast to 4.1%. August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month to 3.4% year-over-year, while core measures and PCE readings remain well above the 2% goal amid resilient growth, solid payrolls, and energy-driven price pressures. Hawkish guidance from Chair Warsh and the shift in official projections have aligned trader positioning with these data points, though October and December meetings plus incoming inflation prints remain key swing factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$81,266วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent FOMC action and projections underpin the elevated 85.5% market-implied odds of at least one additional federal funds rate hike before year-end. On September 16 the Committee raised the target range 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% and the updated dot plot showed 16 of 18 participants expecting a further increase by December, lifting the median year-end rate forecast to 4.1%. August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month to 3.4% year-over-year, while core measures and PCE readings remain well above the 2% goal amid resilient growth, solid payrolls, and energy-driven price pressures. Hawkish guidance from Chair Warsh and the shift in official projections have aligned trader positioning with these data points, though October and December meetings plus incoming inflation prints remain key swing factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$81,266วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent FOMC action and projections underpin the elevated 85.5% market-implied odds of at least one additional federal funds rate hike before year-end. On September 16 the Committee raised the target range 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% and the updated dot plot showed 16 of 18 participants expecting a further increase by December, lifting the median year-end rate forecast to 4.1%. August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month to 3.4% year-over-year, while core measures and PCE readings remain well above the 2% goal amid resilient growth, solid payrolls, and energy-driven price pressures. Hawkish guidance from Chair Warsh and the shift in official projections have aligned trader positioning with these data points, though October and December meetings plus incoming inflation prints remain key swing factors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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