Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) traders' consensus at 95.4% implied probability reflects strong pre-election opinion polls, including C-Voter projections of NDA allies securing 96-98 seats in the 126-member Assam Legislative Assembly, bolstered by incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's high approval amid development initiatives and flood management efforts. The April 9 single-phase election saw record 85% voter turnout, with delimitation redrawing constituencies to favor BJP strongholds in upper Assam and tribal belts, while opposition Indian National Congress (INC) struggles with defections and fragmented alliances like AIUDF. Results scheduled for May 4 could shift only via unforeseen recounts, EVM disputes, or opposition surges in Muslim-majority seats, though historical incumbent advantages in Assam suggest stability.
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Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner
BJP 95.4%
INC 4.3%
CPI(M) <1%
AIUDF <1%
$114,613 ปริมาณ
$114,613 ปริมาณ
May 20, 2026
BJP
95%
INC
4%
CPI(M)
<1%
AIUDF
<1%
CPI
<1%
NPEP
<1%
AGP
<1%
NCP
<1%
BPF
<1%
AITC
<1%
BJP 95.4%
INC 4.3%
CPI(M) <1%
AIUDF <1%
$114,613 ปริมาณ
$114,613 ปริมาณ
May 20, 2026
BJP
$15,773 ปริมาณ
95%
INC
$11,211 ปริมาณ
4%
CPI(M)
$11,065 ปริมาณ
<1%
AIUDF
$8,922 ปริมาณ
<1%
CPI
$14,163 ปริมาณ
<1%
NPEP
$8,750 ปริมาณ
<1%
AGP
$10,904 ปริมาณ
<1%
NCP
$10,586 ปริมาณ
<1%
BPF
$13,789 ปริมาณ
<1%
AITC
$9,450 ปริมาณ
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) traders' consensus at 95.4% implied probability reflects strong pre-election opinion polls, including C-Voter projections of NDA allies securing 96-98 seats in the 126-member Assam Legislative Assembly, bolstered by incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's high approval amid development initiatives and flood management efforts. The April 9 single-phase election saw record 85% voter turnout, with delimitation redrawing constituencies to favor BJP strongholds in upper Assam and tribal belts, while opposition Indian National Congress (INC) struggles with defections and fragmented alliances like AIUDF. Results scheduled for May 4 could shift only via unforeseen recounts, EVM disputes, or opposition surges in Muslim-majority seats, though historical incumbent advantages in Assam suggest stability.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$114,613วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) traders' consensus at 95.4% implied probability reflects strong pre-election opinion polls, including C-Voter projections of NDA allies securing 96-98 seats in the 126-member Assam Legislative Assembly, bolstered by incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's high approval amid development initiatives and flood management efforts. The April 9 single-phase election saw record 85% voter turnout, with delimitation redrawing constituencies to favor BJP strongholds in upper Assam and tribal belts, while opposition Indian National Congress (INC) struggles with defections and fragmented alliances like AIUDF. Results scheduled for May 4 could shift only via unforeseen recounts, EVM disputes, or opposition surges in Muslim-majority seats, though historical incumbent advantages in Assam suggest stability.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$114,613วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) traders' consensus at 95.4% implied probability reflects strong pre-election opinion polls, including C-Voter projections of NDA allies securing 96-98 seats in the 126-member Assam Legislative Assembly, bolstered by incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's high approval amid development initiatives and flood management efforts. The April 9 single-phase election saw record 85% voter turnout, with delimitation redrawing constituencies to favor BJP strongholds in upper Assam and tribal belts, while opposition Indian National Congress (INC) struggles with defections and fragmented alliances like AIUDF. Results scheduled for May 4 could shift only via unforeseen recounts, EVM disputes, or opposition surges in Muslim-majority seats, though historical incumbent advantages in Assam suggest stability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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