Labour's Rowenna Davis leads Polymarket trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability for the Croydon mayoral election on May 7, 2026, driven by a fragmented field of eight candidates splitting the anti-Labour vote, as confirmed in the official list published April 9. Local projections from April 11 show Davis at 25%, narrowly ahead of incumbent Conservative Jason Perry at 23% and Green Party's Peter Underwood at 22%, with Reform UK's Ben Flook further eroding right-wing support at 18%. Recent Green by-election gains and national polling shifts have boosted Underwood to 17.4%, while Perry trails amid criticism of council tax hikes and financial bailouts. A row over Davis's manifesto on divestment from arms firms has drawn attention but not shifted odds significantly, with postal voting imminent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCroydon Mayoral Election Winner
Croydon Mayoral Election Winner
Rowenna Davis 66%
Peter Underwood 17.4%
Jason Perry 17%
Jose Joseph <1%
$40,337 ปริมาณ
$40,337 ปริมาณ
Rowenna Davis
66%
Peter Underwood
17%
Jason Perry
17%
Jose Joseph
1%
Ben Flook
<1%
Michael Pusey
<1%
Richard Howard
<1%
Rowenna Davis 66%
Peter Underwood 17.4%
Jason Perry 17%
Jose Joseph <1%
$40,337 ปริมาณ
$40,337 ปริมาณ
Rowenna Davis
66%
Peter Underwood
17%
Jason Perry
17%
Jose Joseph
1%
Ben Flook
<1%
Michael Pusey
<1%
Richard Howard
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 6, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Labour's Rowenna Davis leads Polymarket trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability for the Croydon mayoral election on May 7, 2026, driven by a fragmented field of eight candidates splitting the anti-Labour vote, as confirmed in the official list published April 9. Local projections from April 11 show Davis at 25%, narrowly ahead of incumbent Conservative Jason Perry at 23% and Green Party's Peter Underwood at 22%, with Reform UK's Ben Flook further eroding right-wing support at 18%. Recent Green by-election gains and national polling shifts have boosted Underwood to 17.4%, while Perry trails amid criticism of council tax hikes and financial bailouts. A row over Davis's manifesto on divestment from arms firms has drawn attention but not shifted odds significantly, with postal voting imminent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย