In the first-past-the-post Watford mayoral election set for May 7, trader consensus shows a fragmented seven-way race with probabilities tightly clustered between 23.5% and 26% for Independent Ryan Bonar, Green Party's Jake Mitchell, Reform UK's Mark Dixon, Conservative Abdul Laskar, UK Voice's Ketankumar Pipaliya, Liberal Democrat incumbent Peter Taylor, and Labour's Keith Morgan, reflecting high uncertainty absent public polls. The April 9 notice formalizing candidates and recent hustings have spotlighted all contenders without elevating a frontrunner, as vote-splitting dynamics amplify the impact of turnout and ward-level mobilization in Lib Dem-dominant Watford. Separation could arise from standout performances in final debates, key endorsements, or shifts in protest voting toward Reform UK or independents amid local council merger discussions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWatford Mayoral Election Winner
Watford Mayoral Election Winner
Ketankumar Pipaliya 47%
Ryan Bonar 27%
Jake Mitchell 27%
Mark Dixon 26%
Ketankumar Pipaliya
26%
Ryan Bonar
27%
Jake Mitchell
27%
Mark Dixon
26%
Keith Morgan
25%
Abdul Laskar
25%
Peter Taylor
45%
Ketankumar Pipaliya 47%
Ryan Bonar 27%
Jake Mitchell 27%
Mark Dixon 26%
Ketankumar Pipaliya
26%
Ryan Bonar
27%
Jake Mitchell
27%
Mark Dixon
26%
Keith Morgan
25%
Abdul Laskar
25%
Peter Taylor
45%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Watford as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Watford Borough Council.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 17, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Watford as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Watford Borough Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the first-past-the-post Watford mayoral election set for May 7, trader consensus shows a fragmented seven-way race with probabilities tightly clustered between 23.5% and 26% for Independent Ryan Bonar, Green Party's Jake Mitchell, Reform UK's Mark Dixon, Conservative Abdul Laskar, UK Voice's Ketankumar Pipaliya, Liberal Democrat incumbent Peter Taylor, and Labour's Keith Morgan, reflecting high uncertainty absent public polls. The April 9 notice formalizing candidates and recent hustings have spotlighted all contenders without elevating a frontrunner, as vote-splitting dynamics amplify the impact of turnout and ward-level mobilization in Lib Dem-dominant Watford. Separation could arise from standout performances in final debates, key endorsements, or shifts in protest voting toward Reform UK or independents amid local council merger discussions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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