Connecticut's 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat based on consistent presidential margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles and strong local party infrastructure. Luke Bronin secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary by defeating longtime incumbent John Larson, consolidating support ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee Amy Chai. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the district. Trader consensus at 96% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors. A late-breaking scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unusually high Republican turnout surge represent the primary, though historically rare, paths that could narrow the margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCT-01 House Election Winner
CT-01 House Election Winner
$11,712 ปริมาณ
$11,712 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
4%
$11,712 ปริมาณ
$11,712 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,926 ปริมาณ
96%
Republican Party
$8,786 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut's 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat based on consistent presidential margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles and strong local party infrastructure. Luke Bronin secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary by defeating longtime incumbent John Larson, consolidating support ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee Amy Chai. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the district. Trader consensus at 96% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors. A late-breaking scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unusually high Republican turnout surge represent the primary, though historically rare, paths that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,712วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut's 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat based on consistent presidential margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles and strong local party infrastructure. Luke Bronin secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary by defeating longtime incumbent John Larson, consolidating support ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee Amy Chai. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the district. Trader consensus at 96% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors. A late-breaking scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unusually high Republican turnout surge represent the primary, though historically rare, paths that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,712วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Connecticut's 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat based on consistent presidential margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles and strong local party infrastructure. Luke Bronin secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary by defeating longtime incumbent John Larson, consolidating support ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee Amy Chai. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the district. Trader consensus at 96% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors. A late-breaking scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unusually high Republican turnout surge represent the primary, though historically rare, paths that could narrow the margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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