Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached exactly 20°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets near resolution. This result stems from an unstable maritime air mass over the North Sea, delivering a mix of afternoon sunshine and convective showers that capped peak warming despite early model runs from ECMWF and Harmonie forecasting 19–21°C highs. Compared to Schiphol's climatological May average of 16.5°C, the reading reflects mild spring conditions influenced by weak southerly flow ahead of a cold front. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare KNMI data reviews or instrument recalibrations, though verified synoptic measurements rarely shift post-publication.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 2?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 2?
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$54,524 ปริมาณ
$54,524 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$54,524 ปริมาณ
$54,524 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
14°C or below
$1,572 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$1,517 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$1,491 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$5,004 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$4,338 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$8,500 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$7,126 ปริมาณ
Yes
21°C
$11,513 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$6,021 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$3,756 ปริมาณ
No
24°C or higher
$3,685 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached exactly 20°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets near resolution. This result stems from an unstable maritime air mass over the North Sea, delivering a mix of afternoon sunshine and convective showers that capped peak warming despite early model runs from ECMWF and Harmonie forecasting 19–21°C highs. Compared to Schiphol's climatological May average of 16.5°C, the reading reflects mild spring conditions influenced by weak southerly flow ahead of a cold front. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare KNMI data reviews or instrument recalibrations, though verified synoptic measurements rarely shift post-publication.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$54,524วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached exactly 20°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets near resolution. This result stems from an unstable maritime air mass over the North Sea, delivering a mix of afternoon sunshine and convective showers that capped peak warming despite early model runs from ECMWF and Harmonie forecasting 19–21°C highs. Compared to Schiphol's climatological May average of 16.5°C, the reading reflects mild spring conditions influenced by weak southerly flow ahead of a cold front. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare KNMI data reviews or instrument recalibrations, though verified synoptic measurements rarely shift post-publication.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$54,524วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached exactly 20°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets near resolution. This result stems from an unstable maritime air mass over the North Sea, delivering a mix of afternoon sunshine and convective showers that capped peak warming despite early model runs from ECMWF and Harmonie forecasting 19–21°C highs. Compared to Schiphol's climatological May average of 16.5°C, the reading reflects mild spring conditions influenced by weak southerly flow ahead of a cold front. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare KNMI data reviews or instrument recalibrations, though verified synoptic measurements rarely shift post-publication.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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