Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) points to a peak daytime temperature near 27–28°C in Ankara on June 24 under predominantly clear skies and light northerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. With only modest diurnal heating expected at the city’s roughly 900 m elevation and low precipitation probability, small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, or subtle warm advection will determine whether readings settle at 26°C, 29°C, or higher. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet short-range model spreads of ±1–2°C remain typical at this lead time. Updated high-resolution runs and official point forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to the Esenboğa station maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on June 24?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 24?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$52,435 ปริมาณ
$52,435 ปริมาณ
Jun 24, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$52,435 ปริมาณ
$52,435 ปริมาณ
Jun 24, 2026
23°C or below
$362 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$661 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$924 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$5,533 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$8,126 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$7,603 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$16,459 ปริมาณ
Yes
30°C
$7,242 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$3,616 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$1,143 ปริมาณ
No
33°C or higher
$766 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) points to a peak daytime temperature near 27–28°C in Ankara on June 24 under predominantly clear skies and light northerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. With only modest diurnal heating expected at the city’s roughly 900 m elevation and low precipitation probability, small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, or subtle warm advection will determine whether readings settle at 26°C, 29°C, or higher. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet short-range model spreads of ±1–2°C remain typical at this lead time. Updated high-resolution runs and official point forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to the Esenboğa station maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 22, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,435วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 22, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) points to a peak daytime temperature near 27–28°C in Ankara on June 24 under predominantly clear skies and light northerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. With only modest diurnal heating expected at the city’s roughly 900 m elevation and low precipitation probability, small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, or subtle warm advection will determine whether readings settle at 26°C, 29°C, or higher. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet short-range model spreads of ±1–2°C remain typical at this lead time. Updated high-resolution runs and official point forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to the Esenboğa station maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,435วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 22, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) points to a peak daytime temperature near 27–28°C in Ankara on June 24 under predominantly clear skies and light northerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. With only modest diurnal heating expected at the city’s roughly 900 m elevation and low precipitation probability, small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, or subtle warm advection will determine whether readings settle at 26°C, 29°C, or higher. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet short-range model spreads of ±1–2°C remain typical at this lead time. Updated high-resolution runs and official point forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to the Esenboğa station maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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