Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin indicates peak temperatures near 100°F on August 2, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring the 98–101°F bins. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are supporting seasonably hot conditions, with forecast highs in the upper 90s to low 100s consistent with August climatology where daily maxima average near 99°F. Minor spread across ensembles reflects typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convection potential, while dew points near 75°F could influence heat indices but not the official dry-bulb maximum used for resolution. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the event will provide the next key data points for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on August 2?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 2?
98-99°F 38%
100-101°F 37%
102-103°F 14%
96-97°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 2, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
38%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 38%
100-101°F 37%
102-103°F 14%
96-97°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 2, 2026
91°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
92-93°F
$40 ปริมาณ
1%
94-95°F
$8 ปริมาณ
3%
96-97°F
$76 ปริมาณ
8%
98-99°F
$85 ปริมาณ
38%
100-101°F
$20 ปริมาณ
37%
102-103°F
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
104-105°F
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
106-107°F
$47 ปริมาณ
4%
108-109°F
$22 ปริมาณ
<1%
110°F or higher
$22 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin indicates peak temperatures near 100°F on August 2, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring the 98–101°F bins. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are supporting seasonably hot conditions, with forecast highs in the upper 90s to low 100s consistent with August climatology where daily maxima average near 99°F. Minor spread across ensembles reflects typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convection potential, while dew points near 75°F could influence heat indices but not the official dry-bulb maximum used for resolution. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the event will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$319วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin indicates peak temperatures near 100°F on August 2, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring the 98–101°F bins. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are supporting seasonably hot conditions, with forecast highs in the upper 90s to low 100s consistent with August climatology where daily maxima average near 99°F. Minor spread across ensembles reflects typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convection potential, while dew points near 75°F could influence heat indices but not the official dry-bulb maximum used for resolution. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the event will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$319วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin indicates peak temperatures near 100°F on August 2, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring the 98–101°F bins. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are supporting seasonably hot conditions, with forecast highs in the upper 90s to low 100s consistent with August climatology where daily maxima average near 99°F. Minor spread across ensembles reflects typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and afternoon convection potential, while dew points near 75°F could influence heat indices but not the official dry-bulb maximum used for resolution. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the event will provide the next key data points for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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