Persistent high pressure and an upper-level ridge over Central Texas are sustaining a regional heat dome, driving mostly sunny skies, light winds, and low moisture that favor afternoon highs near or above 100°F for Austin on August 21. National Weather Service guidance centers on 103°F, placing the outcome squarely in the 102-103°F range that holds the highest market-implied probability, while private models show modest upside risk from variations in boundary-layer mixing and dew points. This setup exceeds typical August averages of 96–100°F and aligns with the ongoing heatwave pattern, though subtle forecast shifts in cloud cover or mixing could adjust the final observed maximum within the narrow 102–105°F window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on August 21?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 21?
102-103°F 62%
104-105°F 24%
100-101°F 11%
106-107°F 3%
ใหม่
$11,881 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,881 ปริมาณ
Aug 21, 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
62%
104-105°F
24%
106-107°F
3%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 62%
104-105°F 24%
100-101°F 11%
106-107°F 3%
ใหม่
$11,881 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,881 ปริมาณ
Aug 21, 2026
93°F or below
$104 ปริมาณ
<1%
94-95°F
$99 ปริมาณ
<1%
96-97°F
$430 ปริมาณ
<1%
98-99°F
$310 ปริมาณ
<1%
100-101°F
$959 ปริมาณ
11%
102-103°F
$3,179 ปริมาณ
62%
104-105°F
$4,753 ปริมาณ
24%
106-107°F
$1,011 ปริมาณ
3%
108-109°F
$474 ปริมาณ
<1%
110-111°F
$396 ปริมาณ
<1%
112°F or higher
$165 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and an upper-level ridge over Central Texas are sustaining a regional heat dome, driving mostly sunny skies, light winds, and low moisture that favor afternoon highs near or above 100°F for Austin on August 21. National Weather Service guidance centers on 103°F, placing the outcome squarely in the 102-103°F range that holds the highest market-implied probability, while private models show modest upside risk from variations in boundary-layer mixing and dew points. This setup exceeds typical August averages of 96–100°F and aligns with the ongoing heatwave pattern, though subtle forecast shifts in cloud cover or mixing could adjust the final observed maximum within the narrow 102–105°F window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,881วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and an upper-level ridge over Central Texas are sustaining a regional heat dome, driving mostly sunny skies, light winds, and low moisture that favor afternoon highs near or above 100°F for Austin on August 21. National Weather Service guidance centers on 103°F, placing the outcome squarely in the 102-103°F range that holds the highest market-implied probability, while private models show modest upside risk from variations in boundary-layer mixing and dew points. This setup exceeds typical August averages of 96–100°F and aligns with the ongoing heatwave pattern, though subtle forecast shifts in cloud cover or mixing could adjust the final observed maximum within the narrow 102–105°F window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,881วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and an upper-level ridge over Central Texas are sustaining a regional heat dome, driving mostly sunny skies, light winds, and low moisture that favor afternoon highs near or above 100°F for Austin on August 21. National Weather Service guidance centers on 103°F, placing the outcome squarely in the 102-103°F range that holds the highest market-implied probability, while private models show modest upside risk from variations in boundary-layer mixing and dew points. This setup exceeds typical August averages of 96–100°F and aligns with the ongoing heatwave pattern, though subtle forecast shifts in cloud cover or mixing could adjust the final observed maximum within the narrow 102–105°F window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย