Official National Weather Service data from the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 81°F at 3:59 PM, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome. This cooler-than-average reading—below May's 86°F climatological norm—resulted from persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual cool air behind a weak frontal boundary, limiting solar heating despite brief breaks in overcast conditions and isolated light rain. National Weather Service pre-event forecasts had projected highs near 79°F, aligning closely with GFS model consensus on subdued upper-level ridging. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from quality control, though finalized ASOS records carry strong authority with minimal historical adjustment rates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on May 8?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 8?
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$99,745 ปริมาณ
$99,745 ปริมาณ
May 8, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$99,745 ปริมาณ
$99,745 ปริมาณ
May 8, 2026
71°F or below
$16,190 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$7,550 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$10,157 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$6,092 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$13,285 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$7,362 ปริมาณ
Yes
82-83°F
$8,719 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$7,154 ปริมาณ
No
86-87°F
$8,634 ปริมาณ
No
88-89°F
$7,559 ปริมาณ
No
90°F or higher
$7,042 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service data from the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 81°F at 3:59 PM, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome. This cooler-than-average reading—below May's 86°F climatological norm—resulted from persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual cool air behind a weak frontal boundary, limiting solar heating despite brief breaks in overcast conditions and isolated light rain. National Weather Service pre-event forecasts had projected highs near 79°F, aligning closely with GFS model consensus on subdued upper-level ridging. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from quality control, though finalized ASOS records carry strong authority with minimal historical adjustment rates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 6, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$99,745วันสิ้นสุด
May 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 6, 2026, 12:52 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service data from the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 81°F at 3:59 PM, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome. This cooler-than-average reading—below May's 86°F climatological norm—resulted from persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual cool air behind a weak frontal boundary, limiting solar heating despite brief breaks in overcast conditions and isolated light rain. National Weather Service pre-event forecasts had projected highs near 79°F, aligning closely with GFS model consensus on subdued upper-level ridging. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from quality control, though finalized ASOS records carry strong authority with minimal historical adjustment rates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$99,745วันสิ้นสุด
May 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 6, 2026, 12:52 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official National Weather Service data from the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) confirm the highest temperature on May 8 reached 81°F at 3:59 PM, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome. This cooler-than-average reading—below May's 86°F climatological norm—resulted from persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual cool air behind a weak frontal boundary, limiting solar heating despite brief breaks in overcast conditions and isolated light rain. National Weather Service pre-event forecasts had projected highs near 79°F, aligning closely with GFS model consensus on subdued upper-level ridging. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from quality control, though finalized ASOS records carry strong authority with minimal historical adjustment rates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย