**Recent cooling from a passing cold front has positioned 13°C as the market favorite for Buenos Aires' maximum temperature on September 5, with 14°C and 12°C as the next most likely outcomes.** Official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Worldmeteo, and national meteorological services show a high near 12–13°C (roughly 53–55°F) under mostly sunny skies and strong southwesterly winds of 20–30 km/h. These winds are advecting cooler polar air following the frontal passage that brought storms and a temperature drop earlier in the week (highs near 17°C on September 3–4). Clear conditions will allow some daytime heating, but the stable post-frontal air mass limits warming, keeping readings well below the September climatological average of ~19°C. Model consensus supports a narrow range around 12–13°C, with limited spread that explains the heavy weighting toward 13°C (44% implied probability) and 14°C (25.5%). Minor upward or downward revisions could occur with the final overnight model runs or local observations, but current data favor these central outcomes over extremes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 5?
13°C 44%
14°C 26%
12°C 13%
11°C 6%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
6%
12°C
13%
13°C
44%
14°C
26%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
2%
13°C 44%
14°C 26%
12°C 13%
11°C 6%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
6%
12°C
13%
13°C
44%
14°C
26%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Recent cooling from a passing cold front has positioned 13°C as the market favorite for Buenos Aires' maximum temperature on September 5, with 14°C and 12°C as the next most likely outcomes.** Official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Worldmeteo, and national meteorological services show a high near 12–13°C (roughly 53–55°F) under mostly sunny skies and strong southwesterly winds of 20–30 km/h. These winds are advecting cooler polar air following the frontal passage that brought storms and a temperature drop earlier in the week (highs near 17°C on September 3–4). Clear conditions will allow some daytime heating, but the stable post-frontal air mass limits warming, keeping readings well below the September climatological average of ~19°C. Model consensus supports a narrow range around 12–13°C, with limited spread that explains the heavy weighting toward 13°C (44% implied probability) and 14°C (25.5%). Minor upward or downward revisions could occur with the final overnight model runs or local observations, but current data favor these central outcomes over extremes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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