Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and others indicate a sharp cooldown for Buenos Aires on September 5 driven by southwest winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a passing front, with clear to partly cloudy skies promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus shows overnight lows potentially dipping near or below 3°C under optimal conditions for heat loss, while slight increases in cloud cover or wind could keep readings closer to 6–8°C or higher. This spread explains the near-even 48% market-implied odds on the 3°C-or-below versus 13°C-or-higher brackets, with specific temperature bins clustered around 24–26% reflecting trader assessment of forecast sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the divergence before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 5?
3°C or below 96%
13°C or higher 59%
4°C 49%
5°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
3°C or below
96%
4°C
49%
5°C
49%
6°C
49%
7°C
27%
8°C
26%
9°C
49%
10°C
46%
11°C
46%
12°C
46%
13°C or higher
59%
3°C or below 96%
13°C or higher 59%
4°C 49%
5°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
3°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
96%
4°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
5°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
6°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
7°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
13°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and others indicate a sharp cooldown for Buenos Aires on September 5 driven by southwest winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a passing front, with clear to partly cloudy skies promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus shows overnight lows potentially dipping near or below 3°C under optimal conditions for heat loss, while slight increases in cloud cover or wind could keep readings closer to 6–8°C or higher. This spread explains the near-even 48% market-implied odds on the 3°C-or-below versus 13°C-or-higher brackets, with specific temperature bins clustered around 24–26% reflecting trader assessment of forecast sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the divergence before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and others indicate a sharp cooldown for Buenos Aires on September 5 driven by southwest winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a passing front, with clear to partly cloudy skies promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus shows overnight lows potentially dipping near or below 3°C under optimal conditions for heat loss, while slight increases in cloud cover or wind could keep readings closer to 6–8°C or higher. This spread explains the near-even 48% market-implied odds on the 3°C-or-below versus 13°C-or-higher brackets, with specific temperature bins clustered around 24–26% reflecting trader assessment of forecast sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the divergence before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and others indicate a sharp cooldown for Buenos Aires on September 5 driven by southwest winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a passing front, with clear to partly cloudy skies promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling. Model consensus shows overnight lows potentially dipping near or below 3°C under optimal conditions for heat loss, while slight increases in cloud cover or wind could keep readings closer to 6–8°C or higher. This spread explains the near-even 48% market-implied odds on the 3°C-or-below versus 13°C-or-higher brackets, with specific temperature bins clustered around 24–26% reflecting trader assessment of forecast sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and wind speed. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the divergence before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย