The approach of a cold front on September 5 is the dominant driver behind market-implied odds clustering tightly around 21–23°C. This system, advancing from the south, is expected to increase cloud cover, trigger scattered showers, and advect cooler polar air into the region, sharply limiting daytime solar heating and surface warming compared to the clear, hot conditions of September 3–4. Official Brazilian forecasts and ensemble guidance consistently project afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, with historical September averages near 23°C providing context but secondary to the transient synoptic shift. Minor model spread in frontal timing and rainfall intensity creates the narrow probability distribution across the leading outcomes, with traders weighting real-time observational updates and refined model runs through the day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 5?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 5?
22°C 27%
23°C 26%
21°C 19%
24°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
19%
22°C
27%
23°C
26%
24°C
14%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
3%
22°C 27%
23°C 26%
21°C 19%
24°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
$180 ปริมาณ
3%
19°C
$31 ปริมาณ
4%
20°C
$153 ปริมาณ
9%
21°C
$343 ปริมาณ
19%
22°C
$110 ปริมาณ
27%
23°C
$404 ปริมาณ
26%
24°C
$411 ปริมาณ
14%
25°C
$60 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C
$60 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$100 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C or higher
$287 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The approach of a cold front on September 5 is the dominant driver behind market-implied odds clustering tightly around 21–23°C. This system, advancing from the south, is expected to increase cloud cover, trigger scattered showers, and advect cooler polar air into the region, sharply limiting daytime solar heating and surface warming compared to the clear, hot conditions of September 3–4. Official Brazilian forecasts and ensemble guidance consistently project afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, with historical September averages near 23°C providing context but secondary to the transient synoptic shift. Minor model spread in frontal timing and rainfall intensity creates the narrow probability distribution across the leading outcomes, with traders weighting real-time observational updates and refined model runs through the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,138วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The approach of a cold front on September 5 is the dominant driver behind market-implied odds clustering tightly around 21–23°C. This system, advancing from the south, is expected to increase cloud cover, trigger scattered showers, and advect cooler polar air into the region, sharply limiting daytime solar heating and surface warming compared to the clear, hot conditions of September 3–4. Official Brazilian forecasts and ensemble guidance consistently project afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, with historical September averages near 23°C providing context but secondary to the transient synoptic shift. Minor model spread in frontal timing and rainfall intensity creates the narrow probability distribution across the leading outcomes, with traders weighting real-time observational updates and refined model runs through the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,138วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The approach of a cold front on September 5 is the dominant driver behind market-implied odds clustering tightly around 21–23°C. This system, advancing from the south, is expected to increase cloud cover, trigger scattered showers, and advect cooler polar air into the region, sharply limiting daytime solar heating and surface warming compared to the clear, hot conditions of September 3–4. Official Brazilian forecasts and ensemble guidance consistently project afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, with historical September averages near 23°C providing context but secondary to the transient synoptic shift. Minor model spread in frontal timing and rainfall intensity creates the narrow probability distribution across the leading outcomes, with traders weighting real-time observational updates and refined model runs through the day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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