Official hourly observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's authoritative data source, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 31°C on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day concludes. This aligns with mid-April climatological norms in the Sichuan Basin, where highs often climb into the upper 20s to low 30s°C amid warming spring conditions and reduced cloud cover, per China Meteorological Administration records. Model forecasts had anticipated peaks around 30-32°C based on high-pressure ridging and light winds. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision in final daily maxima from official station logs, such as measurement recalibration, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for established airport sensors. Traders await CMA's end-of-day validation for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 25?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 25?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$141,489 ปริมาณ
$141,489 ปริมาณ
Apr 25, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$141,489 ปริมาณ
$141,489 ปริมาณ
Apr 25, 2026
24°C or below
$1,928 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$4,136 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$4,151 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$4,263 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$6,320 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$10,377 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$35,491 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$36,682 ปริมาณ
Yes
32°C
$15,130 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$16,197 ปริมาณ
No
34°C or higher
$6,814 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's authoritative data source, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 31°C on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day concludes. This aligns with mid-April climatological norms in the Sichuan Basin, where highs often climb into the upper 20s to low 30s°C amid warming spring conditions and reduced cloud cover, per China Meteorological Administration records. Model forecasts had anticipated peaks around 30-32°C based on high-pressure ridging and light winds. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision in final daily maxima from official station logs, such as measurement recalibration, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for established airport sensors. Traders await CMA's end-of-day validation for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 23, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$141,489วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 23, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's authoritative data source, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 31°C on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day concludes. This aligns with mid-April climatological norms in the Sichuan Basin, where highs often climb into the upper 20s to low 30s°C amid warming spring conditions and reduced cloud cover, per China Meteorological Administration records. Model forecasts had anticipated peaks around 30-32°C based on high-pressure ridging and light winds. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision in final daily maxima from official station logs, such as measurement recalibration, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for established airport sensors. Traders await CMA's end-of-day validation for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$141,489วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 23, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official hourly observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport, the market's authoritative data source, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 31°C on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day concludes. This aligns with mid-April climatological norms in the Sichuan Basin, where highs often climb into the upper 20s to low 30s°C amid warming spring conditions and reduced cloud cover, per China Meteorological Administration records. Model forecasts had anticipated peaks around 30-32°C based on high-pressure ridging and light winds. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision in final daily maxima from official station logs, such as measurement recalibration, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for established airport sensors. Traders await CMA's end-of-day validation for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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