Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a maximum of 32–33°C in Chengdu on June 14 under stable subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing typical daytime heating without significant advection or precipitation to moderate temperatures. This consensus, supported by recent observational data showing surface temperatures already approaching 32°C midday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 33°C. A late-afternoon clearing trend or localized urban heat island amplification could push readings marginally higher, while unexpected convective development might cap the peak below threshold, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current model agreement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
33°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$57,375 ปริมาณ
$57,375 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
34°C <1%
$57,375 ปริมาณ
$57,375 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
31°C or below
$11,609 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$10,884 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$14,595 ปริมาณ
Yes
34°C
$5,609 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$3,904 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$4,009 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$2,077 ปริมาณ
No
38°C
$2,711 ปริมาณ
No
39°C
$652 ปริมาณ
No
40°C
$713 ปริมาณ
No
41°C or higher
$611 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a maximum of 32–33°C in Chengdu on June 14 under stable subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing typical daytime heating without significant advection or precipitation to moderate temperatures. This consensus, supported by recent observational data showing surface temperatures already approaching 32°C midday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 33°C. A late-afternoon clearing trend or localized urban heat island amplification could push readings marginally higher, while unexpected convective development might cap the peak below threshold, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$57,375วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a maximum of 32–33°C in Chengdu on June 14 under stable subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing typical daytime heating without significant advection or precipitation to moderate temperatures. This consensus, supported by recent observational data showing surface temperatures already approaching 32°C midday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 33°C. A late-afternoon clearing trend or localized urban heat island amplification could push readings marginally higher, while unexpected convective development might cap the peak below threshold, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$57,375วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models indicate a maximum of 32–33°C in Chengdu on June 14 under stable subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing typical daytime heating without significant advection or precipitation to moderate temperatures. This consensus, supported by recent observational data showing surface temperatures already approaching 32°C midday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for exactly 33°C. A late-afternoon clearing trend or localized urban heat island amplification could push readings marginally higher, while unexpected convective development might cap the peak below threshold, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current model agreement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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