Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Chicago's highest temperature on April 20 at 55°F or below (39% implied probability), reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting highs in the low to mid-50s amid persistent northerly flow from a lingering upper-level trough over the Midwest. This cool Canadian air mass follows a recent frontal passage after early April's milder spell, with observed highs near 48-51°F over the past week suppressing warm advection. Mid-range outcomes like 56-59°F (combined ~52%) account for model spread and possible diurnal heating under partial sun, while the 25.5% on 74°F+ captures outlier ridge scenarios. New 12Z model runs and NWS updates Sunday morning could refine these odds as resolution nears.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on April 20?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 20?
55°F or below 74%
56-57°F 16%
58-59°F 15%
60-61°F 6.5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Apr 20, 2026
55°F or below
74%
56-57°F
16%
58-59°F
9%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
1%
55°F or below 74%
56-57°F 16%
58-59°F 15%
60-61°F 6.5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Apr 20, 2026
55°F or below
$157 ปริมาณ
74%
56-57°F
$50 ปริมาณ
16%
58-59°F
$50 ปริมาณ
9%
60-61°F
$127 ปริมาณ
6%
62-63°F
$248 ปริมาณ
5%
64-65°F
$59 ปริมาณ
8%
66-67°F
$83 ปริมาณ
7%
68-69°F
$414 ปริมาณ
1%
70-71°F
$213 ปริมาณ
1%
72-73°F
$208 ปริมาณ
1%
74°F or higher
$212 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Chicago's highest temperature on April 20 at 55°F or below (39% implied probability), reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting highs in the low to mid-50s amid persistent northerly flow from a lingering upper-level trough over the Midwest. This cool Canadian air mass follows a recent frontal passage after early April's milder spell, with observed highs near 48-51°F over the past week suppressing warm advection. Mid-range outcomes like 56-59°F (combined ~52%) account for model spread and possible diurnal heating under partial sun, while the 25.5% on 74°F+ captures outlier ridge scenarios. New 12Z model runs and NWS updates Sunday morning could refine these odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 18, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,806วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 18, 2026, 12:40 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Chicago's highest temperature on April 20 at 55°F or below (39% implied probability), reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting highs in the low to mid-50s amid persistent northerly flow from a lingering upper-level trough over the Midwest. This cool Canadian air mass follows a recent frontal passage after early April's milder spell, with observed highs near 48-51°F over the past week suppressing warm advection. Mid-range outcomes like 56-59°F (combined ~52%) account for model spread and possible diurnal heating under partial sun, while the 25.5% on 74°F+ captures outlier ridge scenarios. New 12Z model runs and NWS updates Sunday morning could refine these odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,806วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 18, 2026, 12:40 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Chicago's highest temperature on April 20 at 55°F or below (39% implied probability), reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting highs in the low to mid-50s amid persistent northerly flow from a lingering upper-level trough over the Midwest. This cool Canadian air mass follows a recent frontal passage after early April's milder spell, with observed highs near 48-51°F over the past week suppressing warm advection. Mid-range outcomes like 56-59°F (combined ~52%) account for model spread and possible diurnal heating under partial sun, while the 25.5% on 74°F+ captures outlier ridge scenarios. New 12Z model runs and NWS updates Sunday morning could refine these odds as resolution nears.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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