Official National Weather Service observations from the Automated Surface Observing System at Chicago O'Hare International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 20 reached 56-57°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that bin amid a dominant cool, cloudy regime. Persistent overcast skies and light precipitation—part of Chicago's record-wet spring with over 10.6 inches of rain since March 1—suppressed highs well below the mid-April climatological average of around 60°F, aligning with NOAA forecast model runs projecting mid-50s peaks under a stable cool air mass. This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves scant room for alternatives, though an extraordinary data validation revision by NWS meteorologists could theoretically challenge it prior to final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on April 20?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 20?
56-57°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$85,345 ปริมาณ
$85,345 ปริมาณ
Apr 20, 2026
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
Yes
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
56-57°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$85,345 ปริมาณ
$85,345 ปริมาณ
Apr 20, 2026
55°F or below
$16,342 ปริมาณ
No
56-57°F
$19,246 ปริมาณ
Yes
58-59°F
$13,871 ปริมาณ
No
60-61°F
$9,291 ปริมาณ
No
62-63°F
$4,999 ปริมาณ
No
64-65°F
$8,440 ปริมาณ
No
66-67°F
$2,108 ปริมาณ
No
68-69°F
$5,946 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$1,750 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$1,708 ปริมาณ
No
74°F or higher
$1,644 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Automated Surface Observing System at Chicago O'Hare International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 20 reached 56-57°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that bin amid a dominant cool, cloudy regime. Persistent overcast skies and light precipitation—part of Chicago's record-wet spring with over 10.6 inches of rain since March 1—suppressed highs well below the mid-April climatological average of around 60°F, aligning with NOAA forecast model runs projecting mid-50s peaks under a stable cool air mass. This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves scant room for alternatives, though an extraordinary data validation revision by NWS meteorologists could theoretically challenge it prior to final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 18, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$85,345วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 18, 2026, 12:40 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Automated Surface Observing System at Chicago O'Hare International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 20 reached 56-57°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that bin amid a dominant cool, cloudy regime. Persistent overcast skies and light precipitation—part of Chicago's record-wet spring with over 10.6 inches of rain since March 1—suppressed highs well below the mid-April climatological average of around 60°F, aligning with NOAA forecast model runs projecting mid-50s peaks under a stable cool air mass. This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves scant room for alternatives, though an extraordinary data validation revision by NWS meteorologists could theoretically challenge it prior to final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$85,345วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 18, 2026, 12:40 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official National Weather Service observations from the Automated Surface Observing System at Chicago O'Hare International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 20 reached 56-57°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that bin amid a dominant cool, cloudy regime. Persistent overcast skies and light precipitation—part of Chicago's record-wet spring with over 10.6 inches of rain since March 1—suppressed highs well below the mid-April climatological average of around 60°F, aligning with NOAA forecast model runs projecting mid-50s peaks under a stable cool air mass. This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves scant room for alternatives, though an extraordinary data validation revision by NWS meteorologists could theoretically challenge it prior to final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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