Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a high in the mid-70s for Chicago on August 23, driven by persistent northwest flow off Lake Michigan that limits daytime heating. This setup favors the closely matched 74–75°F and 76–77°F outcomes at roughly 41% each, well below the late-August climatological normal near 82°F. Light winds, partly cloudy skies, and possible lake-breeze effects further cap temperatures, while any slight model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing could tip the result between those two bins. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast discussion and updated model runs overnight for confirmation before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
76-77°F 42%
74-75°F 41%
78-79°F 9%
72-73°F 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
41%
76-77°F
42%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 42%
74-75°F 41%
78-79°F 9%
72-73°F 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
$267 ปริมาณ
<1%
66-67°F
$348 ปริมาณ
1%
68-69°F
$380 ปริมาณ
1%
70-71°F
$421 ปริมาณ
2%
72-73°F
$629 ปริมาณ
9%
74-75°F
$836 ปริมาณ
41%
76-77°F
$925 ปริมาณ
42%
78-79°F
$711 ปริมาณ
9%
80-81°F
$380 ปริมาณ
2%
82-83°F
$145 ปริมาณ
<1%
84°F or higher
$218 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a high in the mid-70s for Chicago on August 23, driven by persistent northwest flow off Lake Michigan that limits daytime heating. This setup favors the closely matched 74–75°F and 76–77°F outcomes at roughly 41% each, well below the late-August climatological normal near 82°F. Light winds, partly cloudy skies, and possible lake-breeze effects further cap temperatures, while any slight model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing could tip the result between those two bins. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast discussion and updated model runs overnight for confirmation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,259วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a high in the mid-70s for Chicago on August 23, driven by persistent northwest flow off Lake Michigan that limits daytime heating. This setup favors the closely matched 74–75°F and 76–77°F outcomes at roughly 41% each, well below the late-August climatological normal near 82°F. Light winds, partly cloudy skies, and possible lake-breeze effects further cap temperatures, while any slight model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing could tip the result between those two bins. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast discussion and updated model runs overnight for confirmation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,259วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a high in the mid-70s for Chicago on August 23, driven by persistent northwest flow off Lake Michigan that limits daytime heating. This setup favors the closely matched 74–75°F and 76–77°F outcomes at roughly 41% each, well below the late-August climatological normal near 82°F. Light winds, partly cloudy skies, and possible lake-breeze effects further cap temperatures, while any slight model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing could tip the result between those two bins. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast discussion and updated model runs overnight for confirmation before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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