Forecasts for Chicago's overnight low on August 23 show model consensus centered on 58–61°F, with the market's leading 60–61°F outcome at 42.5% reflecting guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs indicating stable high pressure and light winds under partly cloudy skies. Recent upper-air analyses and surface observations support minimal frontal influence or moisture advection that could drive further cooling, while 58–59°F at 36.5% accounts for slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Historical August climatology for the region places typical lows near 62°F, so current data revisions favor modestly cooler readings without extreme outliers. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
60-61°F 44%
68-69°F 40%
58-59°F 37%
62-63°F 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
51°F or below
20%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
21%
56-57°F
21%
58-59°F
37%
60-61°F
44%
62-63°F
21%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
40%
70°F or higher
6%
60-61°F 44%
68-69°F 40%
58-59°F 37%
62-63°F 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
51°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
52-53°F
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
54-55°F
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
56-57°F
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
58-59°F
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
60-61°F
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
62-63°F
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
64-65°F
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
66-67°F
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
68-69°F
$15 ปริมาณ
40%
70°F or higher
$25 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Chicago's overnight low on August 23 show model consensus centered on 58–61°F, with the market's leading 60–61°F outcome at 42.5% reflecting guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs indicating stable high pressure and light winds under partly cloudy skies. Recent upper-air analyses and surface observations support minimal frontal influence or moisture advection that could drive further cooling, while 58–59°F at 36.5% accounts for slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Historical August climatology for the region places typical lows near 62°F, so current data revisions favor modestly cooler readings without extreme outliers. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts for Chicago's overnight low on August 23 show model consensus centered on 58–61°F, with the market's leading 60–61°F outcome at 42.5% reflecting guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs indicating stable high pressure and light winds under partly cloudy skies. Recent upper-air analyses and surface observations support minimal frontal influence or moisture advection that could drive further cooling, while 58–59°F at 36.5% accounts for slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Historical August climatology for the region places typical lows near 62°F, so current data revisions favor modestly cooler readings without extreme outliers. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts for Chicago's overnight low on August 23 show model consensus centered on 58–61°F, with the market's leading 60–61°F outcome at 42.5% reflecting guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs indicating stable high pressure and light winds under partly cloudy skies. Recent upper-air analyses and surface observations support minimal frontal influence or moisture advection that could drive further cooling, while 58–59°F at 36.5% accounts for slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Historical August climatology for the region places typical lows near 62°F, so current data revisions favor modestly cooler readings without extreme outliers. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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