**The dominant 100% market-implied probability for an 80-81°F high in Denver on June 15, 2026, rests on the official National Weather Service climatological report confirming that exact maximum at the primary Denver station (typically Buckley Space Force Base or DIA).** This aligns with mid-June normals of 82-83°F, adjusted downward by localized steering patterns, light northeast winds around 5-9 mph, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy or post-frontal conditions. Official observations from calibrated thermometers at standard 5-foot height provide the verifiable ground truth for resolution, with traders converging on this narrow bin once preliminary data and model runs locked in values within that range. Minor revisions to rounding or station selection remain the only realistic challenges, though NWS protocols make such shifts highly improbable after issuance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Denver on June 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on June 15?
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$31,108 ปริมาณ
$31,108 ปริมาณ
Jun 15, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$31,108 ปริมาณ
$31,108 ปริมาณ
Jun 15, 2026
69°F or below
$5,057 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$1,202 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$2,699 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$1,858 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$2,211 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$3,877 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$5,572 ปริมาณ
Yes
82-83°F
$2,343 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$2,557 ปริมาณ
No
86-87°F
$2,157 ปริมาณ
No
88°F or higher
$1,574 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The dominant 100% market-implied probability for an 80-81°F high in Denver on June 15, 2026, rests on the official National Weather Service climatological report confirming that exact maximum at the primary Denver station (typically Buckley Space Force Base or DIA).** This aligns with mid-June normals of 82-83°F, adjusted downward by localized steering patterns, light northeast winds around 5-9 mph, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy or post-frontal conditions. Official observations from calibrated thermometers at standard 5-foot height provide the verifiable ground truth for resolution, with traders converging on this narrow bin once preliminary data and model runs locked in values within that range. Minor revisions to rounding or station selection remain the only realistic challenges, though NWS protocols make such shifts highly improbable after issuance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,108วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The dominant 100% market-implied probability for an 80-81°F high in Denver on June 15, 2026, rests on the official National Weather Service climatological report confirming that exact maximum at the primary Denver station (typically Buckley Space Force Base or DIA).** This aligns with mid-June normals of 82-83°F, adjusted downward by localized steering patterns, light northeast winds around 5-9 mph, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy or post-frontal conditions. Official observations from calibrated thermometers at standard 5-foot height provide the verifiable ground truth for resolution, with traders converging on this narrow bin once preliminary data and model runs locked in values within that range. Minor revisions to rounding or station selection remain the only realistic challenges, though NWS protocols make such shifts highly improbable after issuance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,108วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**The dominant 100% market-implied probability for an 80-81°F high in Denver on June 15, 2026, rests on the official National Weather Service climatological report confirming that exact maximum at the primary Denver station (typically Buckley Space Force Base or DIA).** This aligns with mid-June normals of 82-83°F, adjusted downward by localized steering patterns, light northeast winds around 5-9 mph, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy or post-frontal conditions. Official observations from calibrated thermometers at standard 5-foot height provide the verifiable ground truth for resolution, with traders converging on this narrow bin once preliminary data and model runs locked in values within that range. Minor revisions to rounding or station selection remain the only realistic challenges, though NWS protocols make such shifts highly improbable after issuance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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