National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance position a high near 93°F as the most likely outcome for Denver on July 15, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and minimal moisture that favor strong daytime heating without significant afternoon convection. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on the 92-93°F bucket amid above-normal July temperatures, consistent with climatological baselines and the lack of incoming cooler air masses. Recent model runs show limited spread around this range, though localized variations in wind or cloud cover could nudge the official maximum into adjacent bins; traders appear to discount higher outliers given stable synoptic patterns through the period. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Denver on July 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on July 15?
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$36,481 ปริมาณ
$36,481 ปริมาณ
Jul 15, 2026
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$36,481 ปริมาณ
$36,481 ปริมาณ
Jul 15, 2026
83°F or below
$1,035 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$1,903 ปริมาณ
No
86-87°F
$1,475 ปริมาณ
No
88-89°F
$3,207 ปริมาณ
No
90-91°F
$5,123 ปริมาณ
No
92-93°F
$6,997 ปริมาณ
No
94-95°F
$6,708 ปริมาณ
Yes
96-97°F
$3,322 ปริมาณ
No
98-99°F
$2,141 ปริมาณ
No
100-101°F
$2,686 ปริมาณ
No
102°F or higher
$1,884 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance position a high near 93°F as the most likely outcome for Denver on July 15, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and minimal moisture that favor strong daytime heating without significant afternoon convection. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on the 92-93°F bucket amid above-normal July temperatures, consistent with climatological baselines and the lack of incoming cooler air masses. Recent model runs show limited spread around this range, though localized variations in wind or cloud cover could nudge the official maximum into adjacent bins; traders appear to discount higher outliers given stable synoptic patterns through the period. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,481วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance position a high near 93°F as the most likely outcome for Denver on July 15, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and minimal moisture that favor strong daytime heating without significant afternoon convection. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on the 92-93°F bucket amid above-normal July temperatures, consistent with climatological baselines and the lack of incoming cooler air masses. Recent model runs show limited spread around this range, though localized variations in wind or cloud cover could nudge the official maximum into adjacent bins; traders appear to discount higher outliers given stable synoptic patterns through the period. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,481วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance position a high near 93°F as the most likely outcome for Denver on July 15, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and minimal moisture that favor strong daytime heating without significant afternoon convection. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on the 92-93°F bucket amid above-normal July temperatures, consistent with climatological baselines and the lack of incoming cooler air masses. Recent model runs show limited spread around this range, though localized variations in wind or cloud cover could nudge the official maximum into adjacent bins; traders appear to discount higher outliers given stable synoptic patterns through the period. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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