Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 38-39°F at Buckley Space Force Base (KBKF), Denver's official station for this market, confirmed by National Weather Service daily climate reports following an unprecedented late-spring snowstorm on May 5-6. Heavy snowfall—over 5 inches at nearby sites—combined with persistent cloud cover, light snow/mist, and northerly winds from a deep cold air mass suppressed daytime heating, yielding one of May 6's lowest highs near the record low maximum of 35°F set in 1978. Model ensembles like GFS and NAM had anticipated this chill pre-event, with minimal diurnal warming under overcast skies. Resolution is near-certain barring rare observational revisions by NOAA.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Denver on May 6?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 6?
38-39°F 100.0%
33°F or below <1%
34-35°F <1%
36-37°F <1%
$83,326 ปริมาณ
$83,326 ปริมาณ
May 6, 2026
33°F or below
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
Yes
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52°F or higher
No
38-39°F 100.0%
33°F or below <1%
34-35°F <1%
36-37°F <1%
$83,326 ปริมาณ
$83,326 ปริมาณ
May 6, 2026
33°F or below
$16,323 ปริมาณ
No
34-35°F
$12,947 ปริมาณ
No
36-37°F
$7,127 ปริมาณ
No
38-39°F
$8,077 ปริมาณ
Yes
40-41°F
$8,666 ปริมาณ
No
42-43°F
$5,489 ปริมาณ
No
44-45°F
$7,793 ปริมาณ
No
46-47°F
$4,134 ปริมาณ
No
48-49°F
$4,746 ปริมาณ
No
50-51°F
$4,467 ปริมาณ
No
52°F or higher
$3,558 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 38-39°F at Buckley Space Force Base (KBKF), Denver's official station for this market, confirmed by National Weather Service daily climate reports following an unprecedented late-spring snowstorm on May 5-6. Heavy snowfall—over 5 inches at nearby sites—combined with persistent cloud cover, light snow/mist, and northerly winds from a deep cold air mass suppressed daytime heating, yielding one of May 6's lowest highs near the record low maximum of 35°F set in 1978. Model ensembles like GFS and NAM had anticipated this chill pre-event, with minimal diurnal warming under overcast skies. Resolution is near-certain barring rare observational revisions by NOAA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$83,326วันสิ้นสุด
May 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 38-39°F at Buckley Space Force Base (KBKF), Denver's official station for this market, confirmed by National Weather Service daily climate reports following an unprecedented late-spring snowstorm on May 5-6. Heavy snowfall—over 5 inches at nearby sites—combined with persistent cloud cover, light snow/mist, and northerly winds from a deep cold air mass suppressed daytime heating, yielding one of May 6's lowest highs near the record low maximum of 35°F set in 1978. Model ensembles like GFS and NAM had anticipated this chill pre-event, with minimal diurnal warming under overcast skies. Resolution is near-certain barring rare observational revisions by NOAA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$83,326วันสิ้นสุด
May 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 38-39°F at Buckley Space Force Base (KBKF), Denver's official station for this market, confirmed by National Weather Service daily climate reports following an unprecedented late-spring snowstorm on May 5-6. Heavy snowfall—over 5 inches at nearby sites—combined with persistent cloud cover, light snow/mist, and northerly winds from a deep cold air mass suppressed daytime heating, yielding one of May 6's lowest highs near the record low maximum of 35°F set in 1978. Model ensembles like GFS and NAM had anticipated this chill pre-event, with minimal diurnal warming under overcast skies. Resolution is near-certain barring rare observational revisions by NOAA.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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