Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced outputs, and Turkish meteorological guidance points to a daily maximum of 24–25 °C in Istanbul on September 8, driven by persistent northeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air across the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea under building high pressure. This follows a brief late-summer peak near 29–30 °C on September 6, with the transition reflecting typical early-September climatology and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise moderate daytime heating. Low humidity and fresh winds (15–25 km/h) are expected to limit any urban heat-island amplification, keeping the outcome firmly within the 23–26 °C envelope. Updated model runs over the past 24–48 hours have shown little shift, reinforcing trader preference for the 24 °C and 25 °C bins as the most probable resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 8?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 8?
24°C 58%
25°C 32%
23°C 13%
22°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 8, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
13%
24°C
58%
25°C
32%
26°C
6%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
3%
24°C 58%
25°C 32%
23°C 13%
22°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 8, 2026
20°C or below
$115 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
24°C
$72 ปริมาณ
58%
25°C
$116 ปริมาณ
32%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced outputs, and Turkish meteorological guidance points to a daily maximum of 24–25 °C in Istanbul on September 8, driven by persistent northeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air across the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea under building high pressure. This follows a brief late-summer peak near 29–30 °C on September 6, with the transition reflecting typical early-September climatology and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise moderate daytime heating. Low humidity and fresh winds (15–25 km/h) are expected to limit any urban heat-island amplification, keeping the outcome firmly within the 23–26 °C envelope. Updated model runs over the past 24–48 hours have shown little shift, reinforcing trader preference for the 24 °C and 25 °C bins as the most probable resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$303วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced outputs, and Turkish meteorological guidance points to a daily maximum of 24–25 °C in Istanbul on September 8, driven by persistent northeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air across the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea under building high pressure. This follows a brief late-summer peak near 29–30 °C on September 6, with the transition reflecting typical early-September climatology and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise moderate daytime heating. Low humidity and fresh winds (15–25 km/h) are expected to limit any urban heat-island amplification, keeping the outcome firmly within the 23–26 °C envelope. Updated model runs over the past 24–48 hours have shown little shift, reinforcing trader preference for the 24 °C and 25 °C bins as the most probable resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$303วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced outputs, and Turkish meteorological guidance points to a daily maximum of 24–25 °C in Istanbul on September 8, driven by persistent northeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air across the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea under building high pressure. This follows a brief late-summer peak near 29–30 °C on September 6, with the transition reflecting typical early-September climatology and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise moderate daytime heating. Low humidity and fresh winds (15–25 km/h) are expected to limit any urban heat-island amplification, keeping the outcome firmly within the 23–26 °C envelope. Updated model runs over the past 24–48 hours have shown little shift, reinforcing trader preference for the 24 °C and 25 °C bins as the most probable resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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