Traders assign 99.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 20 because current forecast models and climatological data show summer conditions firmly in place. Typical August highs in this region average 30–33°C, with recent model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration projecting 31–35°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover. The 26°C threshold sits well below historical minima and any plausible short-term cooling from transient fronts. Only an unprecedented, rapid influx of cooler northerly air—absent from ensemble guidance—could realistically push the daily maximum lower, an outcome models currently rate as highly improbable ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Jinan on August 20?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 20?
26°C or higher 99.4%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.4%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
16°C or below
$180 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$180 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$180 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$201 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$201 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$180 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$80 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$80 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$50 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$50 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C or higher
$417 ปริมาณ
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign 99.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 20 because current forecast models and climatological data show summer conditions firmly in place. Typical August highs in this region average 30–33°C, with recent model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration projecting 31–35°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover. The 26°C threshold sits well below historical minima and any plausible short-term cooling from transient fronts. Only an unprecedented, rapid influx of cooler northerly air—absent from ensemble guidance—could realistically push the daily maximum lower, an outcome models currently rate as highly improbable ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,799วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign 99.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 20 because current forecast models and climatological data show summer conditions firmly in place. Typical August highs in this region average 30–33°C, with recent model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration projecting 31–35°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover. The 26°C threshold sits well below historical minima and any plausible short-term cooling from transient fronts. Only an unprecedented, rapid influx of cooler northerly air—absent from ensemble guidance—could realistically push the daily maximum lower, an outcome models currently rate as highly improbable ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,799วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign 99.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 20 because current forecast models and climatological data show summer conditions firmly in place. Typical August highs in this region average 30–33°C, with recent model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration projecting 31–35°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover. The 26°C threshold sits well below historical minima and any plausible short-term cooling from transient fronts. Only an unprecedented, rapid influx of cooler northerly air—absent from ensemble guidance—could realistically push the daily maximum lower, an outcome models currently rate as highly improbable ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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