Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models project a high of 32–34°C for Jinan on September 7 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, well above the 26°C threshold. Persistent warm, dry conditions through early September, with recent daily highs in the low 30s, support this outlook ahead of a cold front expected to arrive overnight. Model consensus remains strong with minimal spread, and the market-implied 97.5% probability for 26°C or higher reflects traders’ assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns. A sudden, unforecasted shift such as increased cloud cover or localized cooling could theoretically lower readings, though this remains improbable given the short lead time and aligned guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Jinan on September 7?
26°C or higher 97.5%
24°C 6%
25°C 6%
19°C 4%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
98%
26°C or higher 97.5%
24°C 6%
25°C 6%
19°C 4%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models project a high of 32–34°C for Jinan on September 7 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, well above the 26°C threshold. Persistent warm, dry conditions through early September, with recent daily highs in the low 30s, support this outlook ahead of a cold front expected to arrive overnight. Model consensus remains strong with minimal spread, and the market-implied 97.5% probability for 26°C or higher reflects traders’ assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns. A sudden, unforecasted shift such as increased cloud cover or localized cooling could theoretically lower readings, though this remains improbable given the short lead time and aligned guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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