Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 2, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 38–39°C under hot, dry conditions with occasional winds. This positioning aligns with strong model agreement from the UK Met Office (39°C maximum) and AccuWeather, amid an ongoing mild heatwave in Sindh through May 3, featuring persistent high pressure, clear skies, and reduced humidity that amplify solar heating beyond May's typical 35°C average. Observational trends from PMD stations show early daytime temperatures already climbing rapidly. Realistic challenges include unforeseen sea breeze intensification or dust storms scattering sunlight, though steering patterns and forecast consensus render these improbable; watch PMD's evening update for final confirmation ahead of resolution based on official airport readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Karachi on May 2?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 2?
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$30,150 ปริมาณ
$30,150 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
Yes
39°C or higher 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$30,150 ปริมาณ
$30,150 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
29°C or below
$2,007 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$2,063 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$617 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$2,695 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$2,375 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$2,937 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$2,515 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$2,494 ปริมาณ
No
37°C
$2,377 ปริมาณ
No
38°C
$5,011 ปริมาณ
No
39°C or higher
$5,058 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 2, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 38–39°C under hot, dry conditions with occasional winds. This positioning aligns with strong model agreement from the UK Met Office (39°C maximum) and AccuWeather, amid an ongoing mild heatwave in Sindh through May 3, featuring persistent high pressure, clear skies, and reduced humidity that amplify solar heating beyond May's typical 35°C average. Observational trends from PMD stations show early daytime temperatures already climbing rapidly. Realistic challenges include unforeseen sea breeze intensification or dust storms scattering sunlight, though steering patterns and forecast consensus render these improbable; watch PMD's evening update for final confirmation ahead of resolution based on official airport readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,150วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:37 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 2, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 38–39°C under hot, dry conditions with occasional winds. This positioning aligns with strong model agreement from the UK Met Office (39°C maximum) and AccuWeather, amid an ongoing mild heatwave in Sindh through May 3, featuring persistent high pressure, clear skies, and reduced humidity that amplify solar heating beyond May's typical 35°C average. Observational trends from PMD stations show early daytime temperatures already climbing rapidly. Realistic challenges include unforeseen sea breeze intensification or dust storms scattering sunlight, though steering patterns and forecast consensus render these improbable; watch PMD's evening update for final confirmation ahead of resolution based on official airport readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,150วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:37 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 39°C or higher on May 2, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 38–39°C under hot, dry conditions with occasional winds. This positioning aligns with strong model agreement from the UK Met Office (39°C maximum) and AccuWeather, amid an ongoing mild heatwave in Sindh through May 3, featuring persistent high pressure, clear skies, and reduced humidity that amplify solar heating beyond May's typical 35°C average. Observational trends from PMD stations show early daytime temperatures already climbing rapidly. Realistic challenges include unforeseen sea breeze intensification or dust storms scattering sunlight, though steering patterns and forecast consensus render these improbable; watch PMD's evening update for final confirmation ahead of resolution based on official airport readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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