Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts and international models like BBC Weather and UK Met Office align on a maximum temperature of 34°C for Karachi on May 8, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a moderating heatwave that peaked earlier in the week at over 44°C. Observational data from official stations show afternoon highs reaching 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies with southeasterly sea breezes limiting further intensification, consistent with May climatology where daily peaks rarely exceed 36°C absent extreme conditions. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of low-upside risk, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected clearing and calm winds sparking a late-afternoon spike before official end-of-day readings resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Karachi on May 8?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 8?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$44,925 ปริมาณ
$44,925 ปริมาณ
May 8, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$44,925 ปริมาณ
$44,925 ปริมาณ
May 8, 2026
26°C or below
$1,074 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$1,388 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$10,727 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$5,140 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$3,159 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$2,176 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$3,383 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$4,075 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$6,434 ปริมาณ
Yes
35°C
$3,508 ปริมาณ
No
36°C or higher
$3,860 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts and international models like BBC Weather and UK Met Office align on a maximum temperature of 34°C for Karachi on May 8, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a moderating heatwave that peaked earlier in the week at over 44°C. Observational data from official stations show afternoon highs reaching 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies with southeasterly sea breezes limiting further intensification, consistent with May climatology where daily peaks rarely exceed 36°C absent extreme conditions. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of low-upside risk, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected clearing and calm winds sparking a late-afternoon spike before official end-of-day readings resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 6, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,925วันสิ้นสุด
May 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 6, 2026, 12:33 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts and international models like BBC Weather and UK Met Office align on a maximum temperature of 34°C for Karachi on May 8, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a moderating heatwave that peaked earlier in the week at over 44°C. Observational data from official stations show afternoon highs reaching 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies with southeasterly sea breezes limiting further intensification, consistent with May climatology where daily peaks rarely exceed 36°C absent extreme conditions. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of low-upside risk, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected clearing and calm winds sparking a late-afternoon spike before official end-of-day readings resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,925วันสิ้นสุด
May 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 6, 2026, 12:33 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts and international models like BBC Weather and UK Met Office align on a maximum temperature of 34°C for Karachi on May 8, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a moderating heatwave that peaked earlier in the week at over 44°C. Observational data from official stations show afternoon highs reaching 33-34°C under partly cloudy skies with southeasterly sea breezes limiting further intensification, consistent with May climatology where daily peaks rarely exceed 36°C absent extreme conditions. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of low-upside risk, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected clearing and calm winds sparking a late-afternoon spike before official end-of-day readings resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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