National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a high of 91–96°F for Los Angeles on August 23, driven by persistent onshore southwest flow, morning marine layer stratus, and limited high-pressure ridging that keeps coastal maxima near seasonal norms around 80–90°F. This consensus, reinforced by recent observations showing daily highs mostly in the low-to-mid 80s, underpins the market’s overwhelming 97.1% implied probability for 91°F or below. Historical records confirm August 23 extremes rarely exceed 94°F absent strong offshore winds or subtropical moisture surges, neither of which current guidance supports. Resolution hinges on official Los Angeles International Airport readings; any late-model shift toward stronger high pressure could modestly elevate odds for the upper 90s, though such changes remain low-probability before tomorrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23?
91°F or below 96.6%
98-99°F 2%
110°F or higher 2%
100-101°F <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
91°F or below
97%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110°F or higher
2%
91°F or below 96.6%
98-99°F 2%
110°F or higher 2%
100-101°F <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
91°F or below
$151 ปริมาณ
97%
92-93°F
$41 ปริมาณ
1%
94-95°F
$50 ปริมาณ
1%
96-97°F
$50 ปริมาณ
1%
98-99°F
$41 ปริมาณ
2%
100-101°F
$154 ปริมาณ
1%
102-103°F
$26 ปริมาณ
1%
104-105°F
$31 ปริมาณ
1%
106-107°F
$33 ปริมาณ
1%
108-109°F
$51 ปริมาณ
1%
110°F or higher
$42 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a high of 91–96°F for Los Angeles on August 23, driven by persistent onshore southwest flow, morning marine layer stratus, and limited high-pressure ridging that keeps coastal maxima near seasonal norms around 80–90°F. This consensus, reinforced by recent observations showing daily highs mostly in the low-to-mid 80s, underpins the market’s overwhelming 97.1% implied probability for 91°F or below. Historical records confirm August 23 extremes rarely exceed 94°F absent strong offshore winds or subtropical moisture surges, neither of which current guidance supports. Resolution hinges on official Los Angeles International Airport readings; any late-model shift toward stronger high pressure could modestly elevate odds for the upper 90s, though such changes remain low-probability before tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$670วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a high of 91–96°F for Los Angeles on August 23, driven by persistent onshore southwest flow, morning marine layer stratus, and limited high-pressure ridging that keeps coastal maxima near seasonal norms around 80–90°F. This consensus, reinforced by recent observations showing daily highs mostly in the low-to-mid 80s, underpins the market’s overwhelming 97.1% implied probability for 91°F or below. Historical records confirm August 23 extremes rarely exceed 94°F absent strong offshore winds or subtropical moisture surges, neither of which current guidance supports. Resolution hinges on official Los Angeles International Airport readings; any late-model shift toward stronger high pressure could modestly elevate odds for the upper 90s, though such changes remain low-probability before tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$670วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a high of 91–96°F for Los Angeles on August 23, driven by persistent onshore southwest flow, morning marine layer stratus, and limited high-pressure ridging that keeps coastal maxima near seasonal norms around 80–90°F. This consensus, reinforced by recent observations showing daily highs mostly in the low-to-mid 80s, underpins the market’s overwhelming 97.1% implied probability for 91°F or below. Historical records confirm August 23 extremes rarely exceed 94°F absent strong offshore winds or subtropical moisture surges, neither of which current guidance supports. Resolution hinges on official Los Angeles International Airport readings; any late-model shift toward stronger high pressure could modestly elevate odds for the upper 90s, though such changes remain low-probability before tomorrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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