India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport in Lucknow confirm a maximum temperature of 39.8°C on April 16, 2026, fitting squarely within the 40°C outcome bin used by the market, with departures +1.3°C above normal amid persistent clear skies and dry conditions across Uttar Pradesh. This positioning reflects strong alignment between real-time airport measurements, short-range forecast models predicting peaks around 40°C, and climatological norms for mid-April, where highs typically range 38–42°C under high-pressure dominance. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability underscores minimal uncertainty, as the diurnal heating cycle has peaked without convective activity or wind shifts to drive further increases. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening surge from unforecasted solar heating or data revisions in IMD's final bulletin, both low-probability given current atmospheric stability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 16?
40°C 100.0%
37°C or below <1%
38°C <1%
39°C <1%
$72,140 ปริมาณ
$72,140 ปริมาณ
Apr 16, 2026
37°C or below
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
Yes
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C or higher
No
40°C 100.0%
37°C or below <1%
38°C <1%
39°C <1%
$72,140 ปริมาณ
$72,140 ปริมาณ
Apr 16, 2026
37°C or below
$3,527 ปริมาณ
No
38°C
$7,094 ปริมาณ
No
39°C
$12,143 ปริมาณ
No
40°C
$12,965 ปริมาณ
Yes
41°C
$12,931 ปริมาณ
No
42°C
$11,413 ปริมาณ
No
43°C
$5,632 ปริมาณ
No
44°C
$1,960 ปริมาณ
No
45°C
$2,080 ปริมาณ
No
46°C
$1,385 ปริมาณ
No
47°C or higher
$1,010 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport in Lucknow confirm a maximum temperature of 39.8°C on April 16, 2026, fitting squarely within the 40°C outcome bin used by the market, with departures +1.3°C above normal amid persistent clear skies and dry conditions across Uttar Pradesh. This positioning reflects strong alignment between real-time airport measurements, short-range forecast models predicting peaks around 40°C, and climatological norms for mid-April, where highs typically range 38–42°C under high-pressure dominance. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability underscores minimal uncertainty, as the diurnal heating cycle has peaked without convective activity or wind shifts to drive further increases. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening surge from unforecasted solar heating or data revisions in IMD's final bulletin, both low-probability given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$72,140วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport in Lucknow confirm a maximum temperature of 39.8°C on April 16, 2026, fitting squarely within the 40°C outcome bin used by the market, with departures +1.3°C above normal amid persistent clear skies and dry conditions across Uttar Pradesh. This positioning reflects strong alignment between real-time airport measurements, short-range forecast models predicting peaks around 40°C, and climatological norms for mid-April, where highs typically range 38–42°C under high-pressure dominance. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability underscores minimal uncertainty, as the diurnal heating cycle has peaked without convective activity or wind shifts to drive further increases. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening surge from unforecasted solar heating or data revisions in IMD's final bulletin, both low-probability given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$72,140วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport in Lucknow confirm a maximum temperature of 39.8°C on April 16, 2026, fitting squarely within the 40°C outcome bin used by the market, with departures +1.3°C above normal amid persistent clear skies and dry conditions across Uttar Pradesh. This positioning reflects strong alignment between real-time airport measurements, short-range forecast models predicting peaks around 40°C, and climatological norms for mid-April, where highs typically range 38–42°C under high-pressure dominance. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability underscores minimal uncertainty, as the diurnal heating cycle has peaked without convective activity or wind shifts to drive further increases. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening surge from unforecasted solar heating or data revisions in IMD's final bulletin, both low-probability given current atmospheric stability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย