India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Lucknow's Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 42.5°C on April 24, 2026—3.4°C above normal—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42°C outcome, as this falls within the 42.0–42.9°C bin per market conventions. Persistent clear skies, intense solar insolation, and dry continental air masses fueled pre-monsoon heating, consistent with Uttar Pradesh heatwave patterns where April averages hover near 39°C but recent days saw rises from 41–42°C amid negligible cloud cover and light winds. No late-afternoon surge exceeded 43°C thresholds. Only a rare post hoc IMD revision to 43.0°C or higher from sensor recalibration could challenge this positioning, with final bulletins expected soon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 24?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 24?
42°C 100.0%
40°C or below <1%
41°C <1%
43°C <1%
$78,791 ปริมาณ
$78,791 ปริมาณ
Apr 24, 2026
40°C or below
No
41°C
No
42°C
Yes
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C or higher
No
42°C 100.0%
40°C or below <1%
41°C <1%
43°C <1%
$78,791 ปริมาณ
$78,791 ปริมาณ
Apr 24, 2026
40°C or below
$6,642 ปริมาณ
No
41°C
$9,117 ปริมาณ
No
42°C
$29,746 ปริมาณ
Yes
43°C
$12,895 ปริมาณ
No
44°C
$6,894 ปริมาณ
No
45°C
$4,179 ปริมาณ
No
46°C
$2,282 ปริมาณ
No
47°C
$2,270 ปริมาณ
No
48°C
$1,524 ปริมาณ
No
49°C
$1,077 ปริมาณ
No
50°C or higher
$2,166 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Lucknow's Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 42.5°C on April 24, 2026—3.4°C above normal—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42°C outcome, as this falls within the 42.0–42.9°C bin per market conventions. Persistent clear skies, intense solar insolation, and dry continental air masses fueled pre-monsoon heating, consistent with Uttar Pradesh heatwave patterns where April averages hover near 39°C but recent days saw rises from 41–42°C amid negligible cloud cover and light winds. No late-afternoon surge exceeded 43°C thresholds. Only a rare post hoc IMD revision to 43.0°C or higher from sensor recalibration could challenge this positioning, with final bulletins expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 22, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$78,791วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 22, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Lucknow's Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 42.5°C on April 24, 2026—3.4°C above normal—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42°C outcome, as this falls within the 42.0–42.9°C bin per market conventions. Persistent clear skies, intense solar insolation, and dry continental air masses fueled pre-monsoon heating, consistent with Uttar Pradesh heatwave patterns where April averages hover near 39°C but recent days saw rises from 41–42°C amid negligible cloud cover and light winds. No late-afternoon surge exceeded 43°C thresholds. Only a rare post hoc IMD revision to 43.0°C or higher from sensor recalibration could challenge this positioning, with final bulletins expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$78,791วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 22, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations from Lucknow's Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport confirm a maximum temperature of 42.5°C on April 24, 2026—3.4°C above normal—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42°C outcome, as this falls within the 42.0–42.9°C bin per market conventions. Persistent clear skies, intense solar insolation, and dry continental air masses fueled pre-monsoon heating, consistent with Uttar Pradesh heatwave patterns where April averages hover near 39°C but recent days saw rises from 41–42°C amid negligible cloud cover and light winds. No late-afternoon surge exceeded 43°C thresholds. Only a rare post hoc IMD revision to 43.0°C or higher from sensor recalibration could challenge this positioning, with final bulletins expected soon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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