Official AEMET observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station—the market's resolution source—recorded a peak temperature of 27.7°C around 16:00–17:00 local time on April 20, 2026, rounding to 28°C under standard meteorological conventions and locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligned precisely with pre-event AEMET municipal forecasts projecting 28°C highs amid a persistent high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light winds that maximized daytime solar heating in the region. Nearby stations like Alcalá de Henares hit 28.5°C, reinforcing the data. Realistic challenges are minimal post-validation but could include rare official revisions from equipment calibration issues or overlooked hourly peaks, though AEMET's quality controls make this unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on April 20?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$113,828 ปริมาณ
$113,828 ปริมาณ
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$113,828 ปริมาณ
$113,828 ปริมาณ
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official AEMET observations from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport station—the market's resolution source—recorded a peak temperature of 27.7°C around 16:00–17:00 local time on April 20, 2026, rounding to 28°C under standard meteorological conventions and locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligned precisely with pre-event AEMET municipal forecasts projecting 28°C highs amid a persistent high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light winds that maximized daytime solar heating in the region. Nearby stations like Alcalá de Henares hit 28.5°C, reinforcing the data. Realistic challenges are minimal post-validation but could include rare official revisions from equipment calibration issues or overlooked hourly peaks, though AEMET's quality controls make this unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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