Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 27°C (35.5% implied probability) and 28°C (25.5%) as Madrid's highest temperature on April 20 at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, driven by AEMET's latest forecast projecting a 28°C peak amid a mid-April heatwave fueled by a powerful anticyclone over Iberia. This high-pressure system has suppressed clouds and precipitation (0% chance), enabling strong solar insolation and warm air advection 5-10°C above April's climatological average of 18-19°C. Recent observations confirm the trend, with Barajas hitting 25.5°C late on April 17 and prior days warming progressively per prior market resolutions. ECMWF and GFS ensembles align on upper-20s highs, though slight model divergences and urban heat effects introduce uncertainty; watch AEMET's next update on April 19 for refinements ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on April 20?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 20?
27°C 32%
28°C 31%
26°C 16%
29°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Apr 20, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
16%
27°C
32%
28°C
31%
29°C
15%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 32%
28°C 31%
26°C 16%
29°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Apr 20, 2026
21°C or below
$220 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$275 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$538 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$217 ปริมาณ
3%
25°C
$194 ปริมาณ
6%
26°C
$168 ปริมาณ
16%
27°C
$37 ปริมาณ
32%
28°C
$44 ปริมาณ
31%
29°C
$78 ปริมาณ
15%
30°C
$119 ปริมาณ
7%
31°C or higher
$716 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 27°C (35.5% implied probability) and 28°C (25.5%) as Madrid's highest temperature on April 20 at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, driven by AEMET's latest forecast projecting a 28°C peak amid a mid-April heatwave fueled by a powerful anticyclone over Iberia. This high-pressure system has suppressed clouds and precipitation (0% chance), enabling strong solar insolation and warm air advection 5-10°C above April's climatological average of 18-19°C. Recent observations confirm the trend, with Barajas hitting 25.5°C late on April 17 and prior days warming progressively per prior market resolutions. ECMWF and GFS ensembles align on upper-20s highs, though slight model divergences and urban heat effects introduce uncertainty; watch AEMET's next update on April 19 for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,606วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 27°C (35.5% implied probability) and 28°C (25.5%) as Madrid's highest temperature on April 20 at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, driven by AEMET's latest forecast projecting a 28°C peak amid a mid-April heatwave fueled by a powerful anticyclone over Iberia. This high-pressure system has suppressed clouds and precipitation (0% chance), enabling strong solar insolation and warm air advection 5-10°C above April's climatological average of 18-19°C. Recent observations confirm the trend, with Barajas hitting 25.5°C late on April 17 and prior days warming progressively per prior market resolutions. ECMWF and GFS ensembles align on upper-20s highs, though slight model divergences and urban heat effects introduce uncertainty; watch AEMET's next update on April 19 for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,606วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 27°C (35.5% implied probability) and 28°C (25.5%) as Madrid's highest temperature on April 20 at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, driven by AEMET's latest forecast projecting a 28°C peak amid a mid-April heatwave fueled by a powerful anticyclone over Iberia. This high-pressure system has suppressed clouds and precipitation (0% chance), enabling strong solar insolation and warm air advection 5-10°C above April's climatological average of 18-19°C. Recent observations confirm the trend, with Barajas hitting 25.5°C late on April 17 and prior days warming progressively per prior market resolutions. ECMWF and GFS ensembles align on upper-20s highs, though slight model divergences and urban heat effects introduce uncertainty; watch AEMET's next update on April 19 for refinements ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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