**Forecast consensus from major meteorological agencies points to a daytime maximum of 34°C in Madrid today, June 13, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability.** Clear skies, light easterly winds, and subsiding air under a stable high-pressure ridge have allowed strong solar heating across the central Iberian Plateau, pushing temperatures well above the June climatological average of roughly 29–30°C. Official model runs from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts align on peak readings near 33–34°C between 14:00–16:00 local time, consistent with recent observations at Madrid-Barajas and Retiro stations. The outcome could shift only if an unforecast mesoscale feature—such as rapid afternoon cloud build-up or a sharper wind change—caps the maximum below 34°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on June 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 13?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$90,466 ปริมาณ
$90,466 ปริมาณ
Jun 13, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$90,466 ปริมาณ
$90,466 ปริมาณ
Jun 13, 2026
27°C or below
$507 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$1,472 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$1,504 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$2,242 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$1,354 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$9,543 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$27,211 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$12,937 ปริมาณ
Yes
35°C
$14,760 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$13,058 ปริมาณ
No
37°C or higher
$5,879 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from major meteorological agencies points to a daytime maximum of 34°C in Madrid today, June 13, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability.** Clear skies, light easterly winds, and subsiding air under a stable high-pressure ridge have allowed strong solar heating across the central Iberian Plateau, pushing temperatures well above the June climatological average of roughly 29–30°C. Official model runs from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts align on peak readings near 33–34°C between 14:00–16:00 local time, consistent with recent observations at Madrid-Barajas and Retiro stations.
The outcome could shift only if an unforecast mesoscale feature—such as rapid afternoon cloud build-up or a sharper wind change—caps the maximum below 34°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$90,466วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from major meteorological agencies points to a daytime maximum of 34°C in Madrid today, June 13, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability.** Clear skies, light easterly winds, and subsiding air under a stable high-pressure ridge have allowed strong solar heating across the central Iberian Plateau, pushing temperatures well above the June climatological average of roughly 29–30°C. Official model runs from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts align on peak readings near 33–34°C between 14:00–16:00 local time, consistent with recent observations at Madrid-Barajas and Retiro stations.
The outcome could shift only if an unforecast mesoscale feature—such as rapid afternoon cloud build-up or a sharper wind change—caps the maximum below 34°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$90,466วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Forecast consensus from major meteorological agencies points to a daytime maximum of 34°C in Madrid today, June 13, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability.** Clear skies, light easterly winds, and subsiding air under a stable high-pressure ridge have allowed strong solar heating across the central Iberian Plateau, pushing temperatures well above the June climatological average of roughly 29–30°C. Official model runs from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts align on peak readings near 33–34°C between 14:00–16:00 local time, consistent with recent observations at Madrid-Barajas and Retiro stations. The outcome could shift only if an unforecast mesoscale feature—such as rapid afternoon cloud build-up or a sharper wind change—caps the maximum below 34°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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