Recent forecasts for Manila indicate persistent southwest monsoon influences and scattered thunderstorms on September 9, with cloud cover and precipitation expected to limit peak daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble models point to highs clustered near 28–30°C amid high humidity and frequent showers, consistent with wet-season climatology where average September maxima reach about 31°C but often fall short under rainy conditions. The closely matched market-implied odds for 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band, as small variations in timing, intensity of convection, or model consensus on cloud cover could determine the exact peak. Updated runs from agencies like PAGASA or global ensembles ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on September 9?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 9?
29°C 33%
28°C 24%
30°C 19%
27°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 9, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
24%
29°C
33%
30°C
19%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 33%
28°C 24%
30°C 19%
27°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 9, 2026
23°C or below
$240 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$240 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$50 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C
$84 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$12 ปริมาณ
11%
28°C
$132 ปริมาณ
24%
29°C
$6 ปริมาณ
33%
30°C
$352 ปริมาณ
19%
31°C
$12 ปริมาณ
7%
32°C
$1 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C or higher
$145 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila indicate persistent southwest monsoon influences and scattered thunderstorms on September 9, with cloud cover and precipitation expected to limit peak daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble models point to highs clustered near 28–30°C amid high humidity and frequent showers, consistent with wet-season climatology where average September maxima reach about 31°C but often fall short under rainy conditions. The closely matched market-implied odds for 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band, as small variations in timing, intensity of convection, or model consensus on cloud cover could determine the exact peak. Updated runs from agencies like PAGASA or global ensembles ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,274วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila indicate persistent southwest monsoon influences and scattered thunderstorms on September 9, with cloud cover and precipitation expected to limit peak daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble models point to highs clustered near 28–30°C amid high humidity and frequent showers, consistent with wet-season climatology where average September maxima reach about 31°C but often fall short under rainy conditions. The closely matched market-implied odds for 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band, as small variations in timing, intensity of convection, or model consensus on cloud cover could determine the exact peak. Updated runs from agencies like PAGASA or global ensembles ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,274วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Manila indicate persistent southwest monsoon influences and scattered thunderstorms on September 9, with cloud cover and precipitation expected to limit peak daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble models point to highs clustered near 28–30°C amid high humidity and frequent showers, consistent with wet-season climatology where average September maxima reach about 31°C but often fall short under rainy conditions. The closely matched market-implied odds for 28°C, 29°C, and 30°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band, as small variations in timing, intensity of convection, or model consensus on cloud cover could determine the exact peak. Updated runs from agencies like PAGASA or global ensembles ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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