Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime maximum of 23–25 °C for Mexico City on August 26, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and variable winds of 10–20 km/h. These conditions limit surface heating at the city’s ~2,240 m elevation during the peak of the rainy season, when increased cloud cover and humidity typically suppress temperatures several degrees below clear-sky potential. Ensemble model guidance shows only modest spread around this range, with afternoon convection and urban heat-island effects introducing the main uncertainty in the precise peak. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the 24–25 °C outcomes, consistent with both climatological August averages near 24–26 °C and the latest observational trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?
25°C 42%
24°C 32%
26°C 14%
23°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
9%
24°C
32%
25°C
42%
26°C
14%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
2%
25°C 42%
24°C 32%
26°C 14%
23°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
18°C or below
$358 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$84 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$19 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$32 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$93 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C
$321 ปริมาณ
9%
24°C
$655 ปริมาณ
32%
25°C
$1,041 ปริมาณ
42%
26°C
$121 ปริมาณ
14%
27°C
$50 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime maximum of 23–25 °C for Mexico City on August 26, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and variable winds of 10–20 km/h. These conditions limit surface heating at the city’s ~2,240 m elevation during the peak of the rainy season, when increased cloud cover and humidity typically suppress temperatures several degrees below clear-sky potential. Ensemble model guidance shows only modest spread around this range, with afternoon convection and urban heat-island effects introducing the main uncertainty in the precise peak. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the 24–25 °C outcomes, consistent with both climatological August averages near 24–26 °C and the latest observational trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,779วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime maximum of 23–25 °C for Mexico City on August 26, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and variable winds of 10–20 km/h. These conditions limit surface heating at the city’s ~2,240 m elevation during the peak of the rainy season, when increased cloud cover and humidity typically suppress temperatures several degrees below clear-sky potential. Ensemble model guidance shows only modest spread around this range, with afternoon convection and urban heat-island effects introducing the main uncertainty in the precise peak. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the 24–25 °C outcomes, consistent with both climatological August averages near 24–26 °C and the latest observational trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,779วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daytime maximum of 23–25 °C for Mexico City on August 26, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and variable winds of 10–20 km/h. These conditions limit surface heating at the city’s ~2,240 m elevation during the peak of the rainy season, when increased cloud cover and humidity typically suppress temperatures several degrees below clear-sky potential. Ensemble model guidance shows only modest spread around this range, with afternoon convection and urban heat-island effects introducing the main uncertainty in the precise peak. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on the 24–25 °C outcomes, consistent with both climatological August averages near 24–26 °C and the latest observational trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย